Silkeborg 6–0 Thisted FC: Result & Stats

Silkeborg

FT

6 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Thisted FC

M. Jonsson 90'

M. Hansen 87', 53'

J. Nielsen 67'

O. Ross 41'

A. Madsen 36'

7/11/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Silkeborg77%

×Draw13%

Thisted FC10%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SilkeborgExpected goals in this matchThisted FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

3.21

1.10

Silkeborg

3.21

Thisted FC

1.10

Silkeborg creates 192% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 14 away

3.86

creates per match

1.07

1.14

allows per match

2.57

creates per match

Silkeborg

3.86

Thisted FC

1.07

allows per match

Silkeborg

1.14

Thisted FC

2.57

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Silkeborg+0.00on par

Thisted FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over79
Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silkeborg ↓

Thisted FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–05%

1–15%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–19%

3–25%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–06%

4–17%

4–24%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 3–1 (9%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

93%7%2.5

79%21%3.5

61%39%4.5

40%60%

Double chance

Silkeborg or draw

90%

Silkeborg or Thisted FC

87%

Draw or Thisted FC

23%

Winning margin

Silkeborg wins by 2+

58%

Thisted FC wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Silkeborg 1+ goals

96%

Silkeborg 2+ goals

82%

Silkeborg 3+ goals

60%

Thisted FC 1+ goals

67%

Thisted FC 2+ goals

30%

Thisted FC 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Silkeborg (draw refunded)

89%

Thisted FC (draw refunded)

11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

59%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silkeborg at home — creates 3.86, concedes 1.14 · 7 matches

Thisted FC away — creates 1.07, concedes 2.57 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silkeborg attack 3.86 + Thisted FC defence 2.57 → ÷2 → 3.21

Thisted FC attack 1.07 + Silkeborg defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 77%?"

Silkeborg scores more

77%

level

13%

Thisted FC scores more

10%

Silkeborg at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 77% does not mean "Silkeborg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

36'

41'

53'

67'

87'

90'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff