Shenzhen Ruby FC 4–1 Meizhou Kejia: Result & Stats

Shenzhen Ruby FC

FT

4 – 1

HT: 2 – 0

Meizhou Kejia

F. Ohandza 80', 38', 24'

H. Preciado 69'

J. Mary 90+2'

5/13/2018

League One · Round 11Shenzhen City Stadium (Shenzhen)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Shenzhen Ruby FC49%

×Draw23%

Meizhou Kejia28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Shenzhen Ruby FCExpected goals in this matchMeizhou Kejia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.86

1.37

Shenzhen Ruby FC

1.86

Meizhou Kejia

1.37

Shenzhen Ruby FC creates 36% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 62 away

2.35

creates per match

1.50

1.24

allows per match

1.37

creates per match

Shenzhen Ruby FC

2.35

Meizhou Kejia

1.50

allows per match

Shenzhen Ruby FC

1.24

Meizhou Kejia

1.37

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Shenzhen Ruby FC+0.00on par

Meizhou Kejia+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shenzhen Ruby FC ↓

Meizhou Kejia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Shenzhen Ruby FC or draw

72%

Shenzhen Ruby FC or Meizhou Kejia

77%

Draw or Meizhou Kejia

51%

Winning margin

Shenzhen Ruby FC wins by 2+

27%

Meizhou Kejia wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Shenzhen Ruby FC 1+ goals

84%

Shenzhen Ruby FC 2+ goals

55%

Shenzhen Ruby FC 3+ goals

28%

Meizhou Kejia 1+ goals

75%

Meizhou Kejia 2+ goals

40%

Meizhou Kejia 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Shenzhen Ruby FC (draw refunded)

63%

Meizhou Kejia (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shenzhen Ruby FC at home — creates 2.35, concedes 1.24 · 17 matches

Meizhou Kejia away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.37 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shenzhen Ruby FC attack 2.35 + Meizhou Kejia defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.86

Meizhou Kejia attack 1.50 + Shenzhen Ruby FC defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.37

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Shenzhen Ruby FC scores more

49%

level

23%

Meizhou Kejia scores more

28%

Shenzhen Ruby FC at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Shenzhen Ruby FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

24'

F. Ohandza

38'

F. Ohandza

62'

Zhang Zhiquan← Guo Yi

63'

65'

69'

80'

80'

83'

Zu Pengchao← Ye Chugui

90+2'

J. Mary

Shenzhen

Meizhou

22

Yu

7

▼

2

24

11

18

15

9

14

▼

Pan

10

Wei

12

⚽

1

4

15

29

3

▼

Haidong

18

Yu

39

▼

Chao

8

▼

Chugui

11

Yuan

10

⚽3

Ohandza

9

⚽

Preciado

Manager: López Caro

63'▲Xu Yang←▼Lü Haidong

80'▲Xu Liang←▼Gan Chao

83'▲Zu Pengchao←▼Ye Chugui

Shenzhen Ruby FC substitutes

6Yang20Liang27Pengchao2Tong16Yajun19Guoqing22Jinqing

Manager: R. Cviko

62'▲Zhang Zhiquan←▼Guo Yi

65'▲Li Zhilang←▼Wang Pan

Meizhou Kejia substitutes

13Zhiquan27Zhilang1Zheng4Xi19Juyuan21Jiajun29Dechao

League One: Shenzhen Ruby FC 4–1 Meizhou Kejia

Shenzhen Ruby FC beat Meizhou Kejia 4-1 in League One on May 13, 2018.

Goals: F. Ohandza (24', 38', 80'), H. Preciado (69'), J. Mary (90+2').

The match was played at Shenzhen City Stadium (Shenzhen).

Shenzhen Ruby FC vs Meizhou Kejia — League One 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

League One: Shenzhen Ruby FC 4–1 Meizhou Kejia