Sheikh Jamal 0–0 Brothers Union: Result & Stats

Sheikh Jamal

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Brothers Union

8/21/2021

Premier League · Round 24Bangabandhu National Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 53+ matches

Sheikh Jamal52%

×Draw23%

Brothers Union25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sheikh JamalExpected goals in this matchBrothers Union

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.85

1.23

Sheikh Jamal

1.85

Brothers Union

1.23

Sheikh Jamal creates 50% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 53 away

1.51

creates per match

1.06

1.40

allows per match

2.19

creates per match

Sheikh Jamal

1.51

Brothers Union

1.06

allows per match

Sheikh Jamal

1.40

Brothers Union

2.19

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sheikh Jamal+0.00on par

Brothers Union+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sheikh Jamal ↓

Brothers Union →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Sheikh Jamal or draw

75%

Sheikh Jamal or Brothers Union

77%

Draw or Brothers Union

48%

Winning margin

Sheikh Jamal wins by 2+

29%

Brothers Union wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Sheikh Jamal 1+ goals

84%

Sheikh Jamal 2+ goals

55%

Sheikh Jamal 3+ goals

28%

Brothers Union 1+ goals

71%

Brothers Union 2+ goals

35%

Brothers Union 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Sheikh Jamal (draw refunded)

67%

Brothers Union (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sheikh Jamal at home — creates 1.51, concedes 1.40 · 57 matches

Brothers Union away — creates 1.06, concedes 2.19 · 53 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sheikh Jamal attack 1.51 + Brothers Union defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 1.85

Brothers Union attack 1.06 + Sheikh Jamal defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Sheikh Jamal scores more

52%

level

23%

Brothers Union scores more

25%

Sheikh Jamal at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Sheikh Jamal will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff