Sheffield Utd 1–1 West Brom: Result & Stats

Sheffield Utd

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

West Brom

G. Campbell 53' (OG)

G. Campbell 83'

3/7/2026

Championship · Round 36Bramall Lane

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 12+ matches

Sheffield Utd42%

×Draw27%

West Brom32%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sheffield UtdExpected goals in this matchWest Brom

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.38

1.16

Sheffield Utd

1.38

West Brom

1.16

Sheffield Utd creates 19% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 19 away

1.64

creates per match

1.27

1.04

allows per match

1.11

creates per match

Sheffield Utd

1.64

West Brom

1.27

allows per match

Sheffield Utd

1.04

West Brom

1.11

-0.47scores less than expected

finishing

-0.38scores less than expected

finishing

Sheffield Utd-0.47scores less

West Brom-0.38scores less

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sheffield Utd ↓

West Brom →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Sheffield Utd or draw

68%

Sheffield Utd or West Brom

73%

Draw or West Brom

58%

Winning margin

Sheffield Utd wins by 2+

20%

West Brom wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Sheffield Utd 1+ goals

75%

Sheffield Utd 2+ goals

40%

Sheffield Utd 3+ goals

16%

West Brom 1+ goals

69%

West Brom 2+ goals

32%

West Brom 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Sheffield Utd (draw refunded)

57%

West Brom (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sheffield Utd at home — creates 1.64, concedes 1.04 · 12 matches

West Brom away — creates 1.27, concedes 1.11 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sheffield Utd attack 1.64 + West Brom defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.38

West Brom attack 1.27 + Sheffield Utd defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Sheffield Utd scores more

42%

level

27%

West Brom scores more

32%

Sheffield Utd at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Sheffield Utd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

12

K. Hoever

Sheffield Utd · D

7.7

Match Events

46'

T. Campbell← P. Bamford

46'

C. Taylor← K. Bielik

47'

Jaïro Riedewald

53'

G. CampbellOwn goal

69'

J. Wallace← O. Bostock

72'

J. Rothwell← J. Riedewald

78'

J. Jimoh-Aloba← D. Dike

80'

83'

84'

87'

90+5'

90+1'

A. Mowatt← J. Molumby

90+1'

J. Maja← A. Heggebo

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SheffieldWest

Overview

64%Possession36%

13Total Shots12

1.22Expected Goals (xG)1.01

5Corners7

8Fouls11

Shots

13Total Shots12

2On Target3

5Off Target6

6Blocked3

9Inside Box7

4Outside Box5

Passing

64%Possession36%

557Total Passes304

451Accurate Passes211

81%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

-0.03Goals Prevented-0.03

Discipline

8Fouls11

2Yellow Cards1

0Offsides1

Match Recap: Sheffield Utd vs West Brom

Sheffield Utd and West Brom drew 1-1 in Championship on March 7, 2026.

Goals: G. Campbell (53' o.g., 83').

Sheffield Utd controlled possession (64%) and registered 13 shots to 12.

The match was played at Bramall Lane in Sheffield.

Sheffield Utd vs West Brom — Championship 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Sheffield Utd vs West Brom