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Sheasham vs Ngezi Platinum — Premier Soccer League 2026

Sheasham
Sheasham
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Ngezi Platinum
Ngezi Platinum
7/9/2023Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 14Bata Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Sheasham31%
×Draw35%
Ngezi Platinum35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sheasham
0.78
Ngezi Platinum
0.85

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 17 home / 96 away

creates per match

Sheasham
0.76
Ngezi Platinum
0.88

allows per match

Sheasham
0.82
Ngezi Platinum
0.80

finishing

Sheasham+0.00on par
Ngezi Platinum+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Under
  • Under78
  • Over22

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sheasham ↓

Ngezi Platinum →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–020%
0–117%
0–27%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–06%
2–15%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (20%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
80%20%1.5
48%52%2.5
22%78%3.5
8%92%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Sheasham or draw
65%
Sheasham or Ngezi Platinum
65%
Draw or Ngezi Platinum
69%

Winning margin

Sheasham wins by 2+
10%
Ngezi Platinum wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Sheasham 1+ goals
54%
Sheasham 2+ goals
18%
Sheasham 3+ goals
4%
Ngezi Platinum 1+ goals
57%
Ngezi Platinum 2+ goals
21%
Ngezi Platinum 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Sheasham (draw refunded)
47%
Ngezi Platinum (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
18%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sheasham at home — creates 0.76, concedes 0.82 · 17 matches

Ngezi Platinum away — creates 0.88, concedes 0.80 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sheasham attack 0.76 + Ngezi Platinum defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.78

Ngezi Platinum attack 0.88 + Sheasham defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Sheasham scores more
31%
level
35%
Ngezi Platinum scores more
35%

Ngezi Platinum at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "Ngezi Platinum will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Sheasham 0–0 Ngezi Platinum

Sheasham and Ngezi Platinum drew 0-0 in Premier Soccer League on July 9, 2023.

The match was played at Bata Stadium in Gweru.