Sharjah FC 0–2 Al Sadd: Result & Stats

Sharjah FC

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Al Sadd

B. Bounedjah 60'

G. Plata 9'

11/27/2023

AFC Champions League · Group B - 5Sharjah Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Sharjah FC42%

×Draw25%

Al Sadd34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sharjah FCExpected goals in this matchAl Sadd

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

1.36

Sharjah FC

1.54

Al Sadd

1.36

Sharjah FC creates 13% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 34 away

1.47

creates per match

1.26

1.47

allows per match

1.62

creates per match

Sharjah FC

1.47

Al Sadd

1.26

allows per match

Sharjah FC

1.47

Al Sadd

1.62

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sharjah FC+0.00on par

Al Sadd+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sharjah FC ↓

Al Sadd →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

79%21%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Sharjah FC or draw

66%

Sharjah FC or Al Sadd

75%

Draw or Al Sadd

58%

Winning margin

Sharjah FC wins by 2+

21%

Al Sadd wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Sharjah FC 1+ goals

79%

Sharjah FC 2+ goals

45%

Sharjah FC 3+ goals

20%

Al Sadd 1+ goals

74%

Al Sadd 2+ goals

39%

Al Sadd 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Sharjah FC (draw refunded)

55%

Al Sadd (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sharjah FC at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.47 · 17 matches

Al Sadd away — creates 1.26, concedes 1.62 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sharjah FC attack 1.47 + Al Sadd defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.54

Al Sadd attack 1.26 + Sharjah FC defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Sharjah FC scores more

42%

level

25%

Al Sadd scores more

34%

Sharjah FC at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Sharjah FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

2

Pedro Miguel

Al Sadd · D

8.0

Match Events

9'

24'

29'

35'

38'

41'

Abdelaziz Alkaabi← Majid Surour

60'

Caio

60'

B. Bounedjah↳ Pedro Miguel

62'

Abdelaziz Salem Ali

64'

Marcus Meloni

67'

Sebastián Tagliabúe← Mohammad Abdulbasit

70'

Ali Asad← Hassan Al Haydos

70'

Mostafa Meshaal← Mohammed Waad

84'

Ahmed Suhail← G. Plata

89'

Salem Saleh← Luanzinho

89'

Saeed Al Kaabi← M. Marega

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SharjahAl

Overview

63%Possession37%

14Total Shots6

7Corners3

21Fouls21

Shots

14Total Shots6

1On Target3

7Off Target1

6Blocked2

4Inside Box2

10Outside Box4

Passing

63%Possession37%

470Total Passes286

393Accurate Passes197

84%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

Discipline

21Fouls21

5Yellow Cards2

3Offsides3