Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Wuhan Three Towns — Super League 2026

SHANGHAI SIPG
SHANGHAI SIPG
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns
3/1/2024Super LeagueSuper League · Round 1SAIC Motor Pudong Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

SHANGHAI SIPG58%
×Draw20%
Wuhan Three Towns21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SHANGHAI SIPG
2.19
Wuhan Three Towns
1.25

SHANGHAI SIPG creates 75% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 10 away

creates per match

SHANGHAI SIPG
2.39
Wuhan Three Towns
1.17

allows per match

SHANGHAI SIPG
1.32
Wuhan Three Towns
1.99

finishing

SHANGHAI SIPG-0.09on par
Wuhan Three Towns-0.17scores less

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SHANGHAI SIPG ↓

Wuhan Three Towns →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
79%
SHANGHAI SIPG or Wuhan Three Towns
80%
Draw or Wuhan Three Towns
42%

Winning margin

SHANGHAI SIPG wins by 2+
36%
Wuhan Three Towns wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

SHANGHAI SIPG 1+ goals
89%
SHANGHAI SIPG 2+ goals
64%
SHANGHAI SIPG 3+ goals
37%
Wuhan Three Towns 1+ goals
71%
Wuhan Three Towns 2+ goals
36%
Wuhan Three Towns 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

SHANGHAI SIPG (draw refunded)
73%
Wuhan Three Towns (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SHANGHAI SIPG at home — creates 2.39, concedes 1.32 · 10 matches

Wuhan Three Towns away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.99 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SHANGHAI SIPG attack 2.39 + Wuhan Three Towns defence 1.99 → ÷2 → 2.19

Wuhan Three Towns attack 1.17 + SHANGHAI SIPG defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

SHANGHAI SIPG scores more
58%
level
20%
Wuhan Three Towns scores more
21%

SHANGHAI SIPG at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "SHANGHAI SIPG will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Wuhan Three Towns

SHANGHAI SIPG beat Wuhan Three Towns 3-1 in Super League on March 1, 2024.

The match was played at SAIC Motor Pudong Arena in Shanghai.