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Shamrock Rovers W vs Galway United W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Shamrock Rovers W
Shamrock Rovers W
Pens
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Galway United W
Galway United Wadvanced
A. Kelly 120+3' (pen)
A. O'Gorman 120+2' (pen)
S. Zambra 120+1' (pen)
J. Erickson 120+5' (pen)
A. Meaney 120+4' (pen)
K. Thompson 120+2' (pen)
T. Kinnevey 120+1' (pen)
8/17/2024All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · FinalTallaght Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Shamrock Rovers W39%
×Draw25%
Galway United W36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Shamrock Rovers W
1.46
Galway United W
1.38

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 6 away

creates per match

Shamrock Rovers W
2.25
Galway United W
1.50

allows per match

Shamrock Rovers W
1.25
Galway United W
0.67

finishing

Shamrock Rovers W+0.00on par
Galway United W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shamrock Rovers W ↓

Galway United W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Shamrock Rovers W or draw
64%
Shamrock Rovers W or Galway United W
75%
Draw or Galway United W
61%

Winning margin

Shamrock Rovers W wins by 2+
19%
Galway United W wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Shamrock Rovers W 1+ goals
77%
Shamrock Rovers W 2+ goals
43%
Shamrock Rovers W 3+ goals
18%
Galway United W 1+ goals
75%
Galway United W 2+ goals
40%
Galway United W 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Shamrock Rovers W (draw refunded)
52%
Galway United W (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shamrock Rovers W at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

Galway United W away — creates 1.50, concedes 0.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shamrock Rovers W attack 2.25 + Galway United W defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.46

Galway United W attack 1.50 + Shamrock Rovers W defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Shamrock Rovers W scores more
39%
level
25%
Galway United W scores more
36%

Shamrock Rovers W at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Shamrock Rovers W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

36'
I. Beletic
43'
A. Madden
51'
R. Olusola
61'
A. Meaney← A. Meaney
62'
A. Costello← A. Costello
64'
A. Meaney
77'
A. Kelly
78'
E. Kelly← E. Kelly
85'
A. Smith← A. Smith
86'
S. Zambra← S. Zambra
90+2'
E. Dossen
120+1'
S. ZambraPenalty
120+1'
T. KinneveyPenalty
120+2'
A. O'GormanPenalty
120+2'
K. ThompsonPenalty
120+3'
A. KellyPenalty
120+3'
J. SlatteryMissed penalty
120+4'
J. RalphMissed penalty
120+4'
A. MeaneyPenalty
120+5'
S. HerronMissed penalty
120+5'
J. EricksonPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: Shamrock Rovers W 0–0 Galway United W

Shamrock Rovers W and Galway United W drew 0-0 in All-Island Cup - Women on August 17, 2024.

Goals: S. Zambra (120+1' pen), T. Kinnevey (120+1' pen), A. O'Gorman (120+2' pen), K. Thompson (120+2' pen), A. Kelly (120+3' pen), A. Meaney (120+4' pen), J. Erickson (120+5' pen).

The match was played at Tallaght Stadium in Dublin.