Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Shaanxi Union vs Hubei Chufeng Heli — League Two 2026

Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Hubei Chufeng Heli
6/2/2024League TwoLeague Two · Round 10Weinan Sports Center Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Shaanxi Union52%
×Draw25%
Hubei Chufeng Heli23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Shaanxi Union
1.64
Hubei Chufeng Heli
1.01

Shaanxi Union creates 62% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 56 away

creates per match

Shaanxi Union
1.86
Hubei Chufeng Heli
1.09

allows per match

Shaanxi Union
0.93
Hubei Chufeng Heli
1.41

finishing

Shaanxi Union+0.00on par
Hubei Chufeng Heli+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shaanxi Union ↓

Hubei Chufeng Heli →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Shaanxi Union or draw
77%
Shaanxi Union or Hubei Chufeng Heli
75%
Draw or Hubei Chufeng Heli
48%

Winning margin

Shaanxi Union wins by 2+
28%
Hubei Chufeng Heli wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Shaanxi Union 1+ goals
81%
Shaanxi Union 2+ goals
49%
Shaanxi Union 3+ goals
23%
Hubei Chufeng Heli 1+ goals
64%
Hubei Chufeng Heli 2+ goals
27%
Hubei Chufeng Heli 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Shaanxi Union (draw refunded)
69%
Hubei Chufeng Heli (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shaanxi Union at home — creates 1.86, concedes 0.93 · 14 matches

Hubei Chufeng Heli away — creates 1.09, concedes 1.41 · 56 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shaanxi Union attack 1.86 + Hubei Chufeng Heli defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.64

Hubei Chufeng Heli attack 1.09 + Shaanxi Union defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Shaanxi Union scores more
52%
level
25%
Hubei Chufeng Heli scores more
23%

Shaanxi Union at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Shaanxi Union will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Shaanxi Union vs Hubei Chufeng Heli

Shaanxi Union beat Hubei Chufeng Heli 2-1 in League Two on June 2, 2024.

The match was played at Weinan Sports Center Stadium in Weinan.