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Seoul E-Land FC vs Suwon Bluewings — K League 2 2026

Seoul E-Land FC
Seoul E-Land FC
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Suwon Bluewings
Suwon Bluewings
9/13/2025K League 2K League 2 · Round 29Mokdong Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Seoul E-Land FC33%
×Draw26%
Suwon Bluewings41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Seoul E-Land FC
1.26
Suwon Bluewings
1.43

Suwon Bluewings creates 13% more chances

Season form · 152 home / 45 away

creates per match

Seoul E-Land FC
1.32
Suwon Bluewings
1.51

allows per match

Seoul E-Land FC
1.34
Suwon Bluewings
1.20

finishing

Seoul E-Land FC+0.00on par
Suwon Bluewings+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Seoul E-Land FC ↓

Suwon Bluewings →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Seoul E-Land FC or draw
59%
Seoul E-Land FC or Suwon Bluewings
74%
Draw or Suwon Bluewings
67%

Winning margin

Seoul E-Land FC wins by 2+
14%
Suwon Bluewings wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Seoul E-Land FC 1+ goals
72%
Seoul E-Land FC 2+ goals
36%
Seoul E-Land FC 3+ goals
13%
Suwon Bluewings 1+ goals
76%
Suwon Bluewings 2+ goals
42%
Suwon Bluewings 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Seoul E-Land FC (draw refunded)
45%
Suwon Bluewings (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Seoul E-Land FC at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.34 · 152 matches

Suwon Bluewings away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.20 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Seoul E-Land FC attack 1.32 + Suwon Bluewings defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.26

Suwon Bluewings attack 1.51 + Seoul E-Land FC defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Seoul E-Land FC scores more
33%
level
26%
Suwon Bluewings scores more
41%

Suwon Bluewings at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Suwon Bluewings will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

K League 2: Seoul E-Land FC 0–1 Suwon Bluewings

Suwon Bluewings beat Seoul E-Land FC 1-0 in K League 2 on September 13, 2025.

The match was played at Mokdong Stadium in Seoul.