Sekirovo Rakovski 0–0 Dimitrovgrad: Result & Stats

Sekirovo Rakovski

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Dimitrovgrad

10/11/2025

Third League - Southeast · Southeast - 12Stadion Peter Parchevich

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Sekirovo Rakovski54%

×Draw24%

Dimitrovgrad22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sekirovo RakovskiExpected goals in this matchDimitrovgrad

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.75

1.04

Sekirovo Rakovski

1.75

Dimitrovgrad

1.04

Sekirovo Rakovski creates 68% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 135 away

1.55

creates per match

0.80

1.27

allows per match

1.95

creates per match

Sekirovo Rakovski

1.55

Dimitrovgrad

0.80

allows per match

Sekirovo Rakovski

1.27

Dimitrovgrad

1.95

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sekirovo Rakovski+0.00on par

Dimitrovgrad+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sekirovo Rakovski ↓

Dimitrovgrad →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Sekirovo Rakovski or draw

78%

Sekirovo Rakovski or Dimitrovgrad

76%

Draw or Dimitrovgrad

46%

Winning margin

Sekirovo Rakovski wins by 2+

30%

Dimitrovgrad wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Sekirovo Rakovski 1+ goals

83%

Sekirovo Rakovski 2+ goals

52%

Sekirovo Rakovski 3+ goals

25%

Dimitrovgrad 1+ goals

65%

Dimitrovgrad 2+ goals

28%

Dimitrovgrad 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Sekirovo Rakovski (draw refunded)

71%

Dimitrovgrad (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sekirovo Rakovski at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.27 · 56 matches

Dimitrovgrad away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.95 · 135 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sekirovo Rakovski attack 1.55 + Dimitrovgrad defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 1.75

Dimitrovgrad attack 0.80 + Sekirovo Rakovski defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Sekirovo Rakovski scores more

54%

level

24%

Dimitrovgrad scores more

22%

Sekirovo Rakovski at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Sekirovo Rakovski will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff