Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Seattle Sounders vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas — CONCACAF Champions League 2018

Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
N. Lodeiro 88'
R. Ruidíaz 80', 45'
5/5/2022CONCACAF Champions LeagueCONCACAF Champions League · FinalsLumen Field

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Seattle Sounders77%
×Draw16%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas7%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Seattle Sounders
2.35
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0.57

Seattle Sounders creates 312% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 8 away

creates per match

Seattle Sounders
2.70
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0.75

allows per match

Seattle Sounders
0.40
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2.00

finishing

Seattle Sounders+0.00on par
U.N.A.M. - Pumas+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Seattle Sounders ↓

U.N.A.M. - Pumas →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–17%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–19%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–17%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–07%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (15%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Seattle Sounders or draw
93%
Seattle Sounders or U.N.A.M. - Pumas
84%
Draw or U.N.A.M. - Pumas
23%

Winning margin

Seattle Sounders wins by 2+
54%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Seattle Sounders 1+ goals
90%
Seattle Sounders 2+ goals
68%
Seattle Sounders 3+ goals
41%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1+ goals
43%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2+ goals
11%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Seattle Sounders (draw refunded)
91%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (draw refunded)
9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Seattle Sounders at home — creates 2.70, concedes 0.40 · 10 matches

U.N.A.M. - Pumas away — creates 0.75, concedes 2.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Seattle Sounders attack 2.70 + U.N.A.M. - Pumas defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.35

U.N.A.M. - Pumas attack 0.75 + Seattle Sounders defence 0.40 → ÷2 → 0.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 77%?"

Seattle Sounders scores more
77%
level
16%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas scores more
7%

Seattle Sounders at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 77% does not mean "Seattle Sounders will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9
R. RuidíazSeattle SoundersSeattle Sounders · F
9.2

Match Events

6'
José Galindo
11'
K. Rowe← N. Tolo
29'
O. Vargas← João Paulo
34'
Leonel López
45'
R. Ruidíaz↳ X. Arreaga
57'
Albert Rusnák
63'
Rogério← L. López
76'
J. Ruvalcaba← W. Corozo
80'
R. Ruidíaz↳ N. Lodeiro
88'
N. Lodeiro
89'
Nicolás Lodeiro
90+3'
J. Ragen← J. Morris
90+3'
F. Montero← N. Lodeiro
90+3'
W. Bruin← R. Ruidíaz

Possession

50%Seattle

Shots

15Seattle

Pass accuracy

51%Seattle

Statistics

SeattleU.N.A.M.
Overview
50%Possession50%
15Total Shots6
4Corners3
10Fouls22
Shots
15Total Shots6
9On Target1
3Off Target3
3Blocked2
12Inside Box4
3Outside Box2
Passing
50%Possession50%
366Total Passes365
291Accurate Passes279
80%Pass Accuracy76%
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
Discipline
10Fouls22
2Yellow Cards2

Match Recap: Seattle Sounders vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Seattle Sounders beat U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-0 in CONCACAF Champions League on May 5, 2022.

Goals: R. Ruidíaz (45', 80'), N. Lodeiro (88').

Seattle Sounders controlled possession (50%) and registered 15 shots to 6.

The match was played at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington.