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SCR Altach vs Grasshoppers — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SCR Altach
SCR Altach
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
L. Kronberger 77'
7/13/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3CASHPOINT Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

SCR Altach42%
×Draw23%
Grasshoppers35%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SCR Altach
1.78
Grasshoppers
1.60

SCR Altach creates 11% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 8 away

creates per match

SCR Altach
2.31
Grasshoppers
2.13

allows per match

SCR Altach
1.08
Grasshoppers
1.25

finishing

SCR Altach+0.00on par
Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SCR Altach ↓

Grasshoppers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

SCR Altach or draw
65%
SCR Altach or Grasshoppers
77%
Draw or Grasshoppers
58%

Winning margin

SCR Altach wins by 2+
22%
Grasshoppers wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

SCR Altach 1+ goals
83%
SCR Altach 2+ goals
53%
SCR Altach 3+ goals
26%
Grasshoppers 1+ goals
80%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
47%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

SCR Altach (draw refunded)
55%
Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SCR Altach at home — creates 2.31, concedes 1.08 · 13 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 2.13, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SCR Altach attack 2.31 + Grasshoppers defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.78

Grasshoppers attack 2.13 + SCR Altach defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

SCR Altach scores more
42%
level
23%
Grasshoppers scores more
35%

SCR Altach at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "SCR Altach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

77'
L. Kronberger
SCR
Grasshoppers
J. Standfest
Manager: J. Standfest
M. Schällibaum
Manager: M. Schällibaum

Match Recap: SCR Altach vs Grasshoppers

SCR Altach beat Grasshoppers 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 13, 2024.

Goals: L. Kronberger (77').

The match was played at CASHPOINT Arena in Altach.