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Schott Jena vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Schott Jena
Schott Jena
FT
1 – 12
HT: 1 – 7
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
F. Nieswandt 39'
T. Tattermusch 85', 82', 52'
H. Muqaj 79', 53'
K. Seidemann 40'
M. Hoppe 37'
E. Weinhauer 33'
A. Prokopenko 32', 17'
J. Richter 27'
J. Petermann 2'
1/14/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3EAS Kunstrasen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Schott Jena8%
×Draw10%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena82%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Schott Jena
1.42
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
4.31

FC Carl Zeiss Jena creates 204% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 14 away

creates per match

Schott Jena
1.33
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2.29

allows per match

Schott Jena
6.33
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1.50

finishing

Schott Jena+0.00on par
FC Carl Zeiss Jena+0.00on par

Total goals

91%Over
  • Over91
  • Under9

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Schott Jena ↓

FC Carl Zeiss Jena →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–12%
0–24%
0–35%
0–45%
1
1–01%
1–12%
1–25%
1–37%
1–48%
2
2–00%
2–12%
2–24%
2–35%
2–46%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–22%
3–32%
3–43%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–4 (8%) · grid covers 66% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
97%3%2.5
91%9%3.5
79%21%4.5
62%38%

Double chance

Schott Jena or draw
18%
Schott Jena or FC Carl Zeiss Jena
90%
Draw or FC Carl Zeiss Jena
92%

Winning margin

Schott Jena wins by 2+
3%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena wins by 2+
67%

Team goals

Schott Jena 1+ goals
76%
Schott Jena 2+ goals
41%
Schott Jena 3+ goals
17%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1+ goals
98%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2+ goals
92%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3+ goals
77%

Draw no bet

Schott Jena (draw refunded)
9%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena (draw refunded)
91%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Schott Jena at home — creates 1.33, concedes 6.33 · 3 matches

FC Carl Zeiss Jena away — creates 2.29, concedes 1.50 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Schott Jena attack 1.33 + FC Carl Zeiss Jena defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.42

FC Carl Zeiss Jena attack 2.29 + Schott Jena defence 6.33 → ÷2 → 4.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 82%?"

Schott Jena scores more
8%
level
10%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena scores more
82%

FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 82% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 82% does not mean "FC Carl Zeiss Jena will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'
J. Petermann
17'
A. Prokopenko
27'
J. Richter
32'
A. Prokopenko
33'
E. Weinhauer
37'
M. Hoppe
39'
F. Nieswandt
40'
K. Seidemann
52'
T. Tattermusch
53'
H. Muqaj
79'
H. Muqaj
82'
T. Tattermusch
85'
T. Tattermusch
Schott
FC
S. Geisendorf
Manager: S. Geisendorf
S. Böger
Manager: S. Böger

Match Recap: Schott Jena vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena

FC Carl Zeiss Jena beat Schott Jena 12-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 14, 2025.

Goals: J. Petermann (2'), A. Prokopenko (17', 32'), J. Richter (27'), E. Weinhauer (33'), M. Hoppe (37'), F. Nieswandt (39'), K. Seidemann (40'), T. Tattermusch (52', 82', 85'), H. Muqaj (53', 79').

The match was played at EAS Kunstrasen in Jena.