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Schöningen vs 1. FC Magdeburg — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Schöningen
Schöningen
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 3
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Magdeburg
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Schöningen14%
×Draw13%
1. FC Magdeburg74%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Schöningen
1.83
1. FC Magdeburg
4.08

1. FC Magdeburg creates 123% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 12 away

creates per match

Schöningen
1.25
1. FC Magdeburg
3.42

allows per match

Schöningen
4.75
1. FC Magdeburg
2.42

finishing

Schöningen+0.00on par
1. FC Magdeburg+0.00on par

Total goals

92%Over
  • Over92
  • Under8

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

82%Yes
  • Yes82
  • No18

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Schöningen ↓

1. FC Magdeburg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–23%
0–33%
0–44%
1
1–01%
1–12%
1–25%
1–36%
1–47%
2
2–01%
2–12%
2–24%
2–36%
2–46%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–23%
3–34%
3–44%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–32%
4–42%

Most likely 1–4 (7%) · grid covers 67% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
98%2%2.5
92%8%3.5
82%18%4.5
66%34%

Double chance

Schöningen or draw
26%
Schöningen or 1. FC Magdeburg
87%
Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg
86%

Winning margin

Schöningen wins by 2+
6%
1. FC Magdeburg wins by 2+
56%

Team goals

Schöningen 1+ goals
84%
Schöningen 2+ goals
54%
Schöningen 3+ goals
28%
1. FC Magdeburg 1+ goals
98%
1. FC Magdeburg 2+ goals
90%
1. FC Magdeburg 3+ goals
74%

Draw no bet

Schöningen (draw refunded)
16%
1. FC Magdeburg (draw refunded)
84%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
80%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Schöningen at home — creates 1.25, concedes 4.75 · 4 matches

1. FC Magdeburg away — creates 3.42, concedes 2.42 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Schöningen attack 1.25 + 1. FC Magdeburg defence 2.42 → ÷2 → 1.83

1. FC Magdeburg attack 3.42 + Schöningen defence 4.75 → ÷2 → 4.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 74%?"

Schöningen scores more
14%
level
13%
1. FC Magdeburg scores more
74%

1. FC Magdeburg at 74% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 74% does not mean "1. FC Magdeburg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Schöningen vs 1. FC Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg beat Schöningen 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.