Schalke 04 U19 6–2 Meerbusch U19: Result & Stats

Schalke 04 U19

FT

6 – 2

HT: 3 – 2

Meerbusch U19

A. Gulasi 90+1'

M. Wallentowitz 80'

M. Tubić 59', 9'

Z. Amoussou-Tchibara 25', 6'

D. Aserov 33'

S. Savicevic 28' (pen)

9/22/2024

U19 Bundesliga · 1st Group Stage - 7Parkstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Schalke 04 U1965%

×Draw19%

Meerbusch U1916%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Schalke 04 U19Expected goals in this matchMeerbusch U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.29

1.04

Schalke 04 U19

2.29

Meerbusch U19

1.04

Schalke 04 U19 creates 120% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 14 away

2.30

creates per match

1.14

0.95

allows per match

2.29

creates per match

Schalke 04 U19

2.30

Meerbusch U19

1.14

allows per match

Schalke 04 U19

0.95

Meerbusch U19

2.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Schalke 04 U19+0.00on par

Meerbusch U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Schalke 04 U19 ↓

Meerbusch U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–19%

1–24%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Schalke 04 U19 or draw

84%

Schalke 04 U19 or Meerbusch U19

81%

Draw or Meerbusch U19

35%

Winning margin

Schalke 04 U19 wins by 2+

42%

Meerbusch U19 wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Schalke 04 U19 1+ goals

90%

Schalke 04 U19 2+ goals

66%

Schalke 04 U19 3+ goals

40%

Meerbusch U19 1+ goals

65%

Meerbusch U19 2+ goals

28%

Meerbusch U19 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Schalke 04 U19 (draw refunded)

80%

Meerbusch U19 (draw refunded)

20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Schalke 04 U19 at home — creates 2.30, concedes 0.95 · 63 matches

Meerbusch U19 away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.29 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Schalke 04 U19 attack 2.30 + Meerbusch U19 defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 2.29

Meerbusch U19 attack 1.14 + Schalke 04 U19 defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Schalke 04 U19 scores more

65%

level

19%

Meerbusch U19 scores more

16%

Schalke 04 U19 at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Schalke 04 U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'

Z. Amoussou-Tchibara

9'

M. Tubić

25'

Z. Amoussou-Tchibara

28'

S. SavicevicPenalty

33'

D. Aserov

46'

D. Gyamfi← C. Venos

59'

A. Gulasi← J. Zgorecki

59'

B. Weber← O. Turay

59'

J. N'Diaye← E. Gashi

59'

M. Tubić

65'

Y. Zeller← N. Gergorec

69'

M. Wallentowitz← M. Tubić

74'

J. Karakis← J. Asamoah

74'

M. Ume← S. Savicevic

80'

M. Wallentowitz

82'

C. Zaunbrecher← J. Gaudian

85'

N. Westenberger← Z. Amoussou-Tchibara

85'

T. Pfeiffer← L. Vozar

90+1'

A. Gulasi

Schalke

Meerbusch

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

▼

Amoussou-

▼

Turay

⚽2

▼

Tubić

Manager: N. Elgert

59'▲A. Gulasi←▼J. Zgorecki

59'▲B. Weber←▼O. Turay

59'▲J. N'Diaye←▼E. Gashi

69'▲M. Wallentowitz←▼M. Tubić

85'▲N. Westenberger←▼Z. Amoussou-Tchibara

85'▲T. Pfeiffer←▼L. Vozar

Schalke 04 U19 substitutes

GulasiWeberN'DiayeWallentowitzWestenbergerPfeifferBodon

Manager: D. Granata

46'▲D. Gyamfi←▼C. Venos

65'▲Y. Zeller←▼N. Gergorec

74'▲J. Karakis←▼J. Asamoah

74'▲M. Ume←▼S. Savicevic

82'▲C. Zaunbrecher←▼J. Gaudian

Meerbusch U19 substitutes

GyamfiZellerKarakisUmeZaunbrecherGrabekHabarov

U19 Bundesliga: Schalke 04 U19 6–2 Meerbusch U19

Schalke 04 U19 beat Meerbusch U19 6-2 in U19 Bundesliga on September 22, 2024.

Goals: Z. Amoussou-Tchibara (6', 25'), M. Tubić (9', 59'), S. Savicevic (28' pen), D. Aserov (33'), M. Wallentowitz (80'), A. Gulasi (90+1').

The match was played at Parkstadion in Gelsenkirchen.

Schalke 04 U19 vs Meerbusch U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Schalke 04 U19 6–2 Meerbusch U19