Schalke 04 U19 0–2 Heidenheim U19: Result & Stats

Schalke 04 U19

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Heidenheim U19

L. Mignano 90+4'

Y. Wagner 68'

2/2/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group A - 1Parkstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 62+ matches

Schalke 04 U1952%

×Draw22%

Heidenheim U1926%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Schalke 04 U19Expected goals in this matchHeidenheim U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.91

1.29

Schalke 04 U19

1.91

Heidenheim U19

1.29

Schalke 04 U19 creates 48% more chances

Season form · 62 home / 71 away

2.26

creates per match

1.62

0.95

allows per match

1.56

creates per match

Schalke 04 U19

2.26

Heidenheim U19

1.62

allows per match

Schalke 04 U19

0.95

Heidenheim U19

1.56

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Schalke 04 U19+0.00on par

Heidenheim U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Schalke 04 U19 ↓

Heidenheim U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Schalke 04 U19 or draw

74%

Schalke 04 U19 or Heidenheim U19

78%

Draw or Heidenheim U19

48%

Winning margin

Schalke 04 U19 wins by 2+

29%

Heidenheim U19 wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Schalke 04 U19 1+ goals

85%

Schalke 04 U19 2+ goals

57%

Schalke 04 U19 3+ goals

30%

Heidenheim U19 1+ goals

72%

Heidenheim U19 2+ goals

37%

Heidenheim U19 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Schalke 04 U19 (draw refunded)

67%

Heidenheim U19 (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Schalke 04 U19 at home — creates 2.26, concedes 0.95 · 62 matches

Heidenheim U19 away — creates 1.62, concedes 1.56 · 71 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Schalke 04 U19 attack 2.26 + Heidenheim U19 defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.91

Heidenheim U19 attack 1.62 + Schalke 04 U19 defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Schalke 04 U19 scores more

52%

level

22%

Heidenheim U19 scores more

26%

Schalke 04 U19 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Schalke 04 U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

E. Gashi← J. NDiaye

46'

L. Mignano← T. Weigel

52'

T. Windsheimer← L. Gjini

56'

B. Weber← E. Gashi

68'

L. Schmidt← F. Aliqki

68'

Y. Wagner

69'

M. Wallentowitz← B. Dardari

74'

B. Numbisie← L. Vozar

74'

C. Bettoni Katunda← M. Tubić

89'

89'

90'

90+4'

Schalke

Heidenheim

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: N. Elgert

46'▲E. Gashi←▼J. NDiaye

56'▲B. Weber←▼E. Gashi

69'▲M. Wallentowitz←▼B. Dardari

74'▲B. Numbisie←▼L. Vozar

74'▲C. Bettoni Katunda←▼M. Tubić

Schalke 04 U19 substitutes

GashiWeberWallentowitzNumbisieKatundaBodonPfeiffer

Manager: T. Fahrion

46'▲L. Mignano←▼T. Weigel

52'▲T. Windsheimer←▼L. Gjini

68'▲L. Schmidt←▼F. Aliqki

90'▲L. Wünsch←▼Y. Wagner

Heidenheim U19 substitutes

MignanoWindsheimerSchmidtWünschNiggelButkaFuchs

U19 Bundesliga: Schalke 04 U19 0–2 Heidenheim U19

Heidenheim U19 beat Schalke 04 U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on February 2, 2025.

Goals: Y. Wagner (68'), L. Mignano (90+4').

The match was played at Parkstadion in Gelsenkirchen.

Schalke 04 U19 vs Heidenheim U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Schalke 04 U19 0–2 Heidenheim U19