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SC Kriens vs FC Zurich — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SC Kriens
SC Kriens
FT
2 – 4
FC Zurich
FC Zurich
3/13/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Kleinfeld

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

SC Kriens30%
×Draw18%
FC Zurich52%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SC Kriens
2.20
FC Zurich
2.90

FC Zurich creates 32% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 5 away

creates per match

SC Kriens
2.40
FC Zurich
4.00

allows per match

SC Kriens
1.80
FC Zurich
2.00

finishing

SC Kriens+0.00on par
FC Zurich+0.00on par

Total goals

88%Over
  • Over88
  • Under12

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

84%Yes
  • Yes84
  • No16

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SC Kriens ↓

FC Zurich →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–23%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–01%
1–14%
1–26%
1–36%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–26%
2–36%
2–45%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–25%
3–35%
3–43%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–23%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 1–2 (6%) · grid covers 80% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
88%12%3.5
74%26%4.5
56%44%

Double chance

SC Kriens or draw
48%
SC Kriens or FC Zurich
82%
Draw or FC Zurich
70%

Winning margin

SC Kriens wins by 2+
16%
FC Zurich wins by 2+
34%

Team goals

SC Kriens 1+ goals
89%
SC Kriens 2+ goals
64%
SC Kriens 3+ goals
37%
FC Zurich 1+ goals
94%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
78%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
54%

Draw no bet

SC Kriens (draw refunded)
36%
FC Zurich (draw refunded)
64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
80%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SC Kriens at home — creates 2.40, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

FC Zurich away — creates 4.00, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SC Kriens attack 2.40 + FC Zurich defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.20

FC Zurich attack 4.00 + SC Kriens defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 2.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

SC Kriens scores more
30%
level
18%
FC Zurich scores more
52%

FC Zurich at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "FC Zurich will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: SC Kriens vs FC Zurich

FC Zurich beat SC Kriens 4-2 in Friendlies Clubs on March 13, 2020.

The match was played at Stadion Kleinfeld in Kriens.