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FC Zurich vs SC Kriens — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Zurich
FC Zurich
FT
6 – 1
SC Kriens
SC Kriens
7/17/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportanlage Heerenschürli

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

FC Zurich51%
×Draw19%
SC Kriens30%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Zurich
2.53
SC Kriens
1.92

FC Zurich creates 32% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 6 away

creates per match

FC Zurich
2.22
SC Kriens
1.50

allows per match

FC Zurich
2.33
SC Kriens
2.83

finishing

FC Zurich+0.00on par
SC Kriens+0.00on par

Total goals

82%Over
  • Over82
  • Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Zurich ↓

SC Kriens →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
82%18%3.5
64%36%4.5
45%55%

Double chance

FC Zurich or draw
70%
FC Zurich or SC Kriens
81%
Draw or SC Kriens
49%

Winning margin

FC Zurich wins by 2+
32%
SC Kriens wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

FC Zurich 1+ goals
92%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
71%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
46%
SC Kriens 1+ goals
85%
SC Kriens 2+ goals
57%
SC Kriens 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

FC Zurich (draw refunded)
63%
SC Kriens (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Zurich at home — creates 2.22, concedes 2.33 · 9 matches

SC Kriens away — creates 1.50, concedes 2.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Zurich attack 2.22 + SC Kriens defence 2.83 → ÷2 → 2.53

SC Kriens attack 1.50 + FC Zurich defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

FC Zurich scores more
51%
level
19%
SC Kriens scores more
30%

FC Zurich at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "FC Zurich will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC Zurich vs SC Kriens

FC Zurich beat SC Kriens 6-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 17, 2021.

The match was played at Sportanlage Heerenschürli in Zürich.