SC Bengaluru 0–0 Namdhari: Result & Stats

SC Bengaluru

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Namdhari

12/20/2024

I-League · Round 6Bangalore Football Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

SC Bengaluru42%

×Draw25%

Namdhari32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SC BengaluruExpected goals in this matchNamdhari

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.49

1.27

SC Bengaluru

1.49

Namdhari

1.27

SC Bengaluru creates 17% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 30 away

1.45

creates per match

1.27

allows per match

1.53

creates per match

SC Bengaluru

1.45

Namdhari

1.27

allows per match

SC Bengaluru

1.27

Namdhari

1.53

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

SC Bengaluru+0.00on par

Namdhari+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SC Bengaluru ↓

Namdhari →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

SC Bengaluru or draw

68%

SC Bengaluru or Namdhari

75%

Draw or Namdhari

58%

Winning margin

SC Bengaluru wins by 2+

21%

Namdhari wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

SC Bengaluru 1+ goals

77%

SC Bengaluru 2+ goals

44%

SC Bengaluru 3+ goals

19%

Namdhari 1+ goals

72%

Namdhari 2+ goals

36%

Namdhari 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

SC Bengaluru (draw refunded)

57%

Namdhari (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SC Bengaluru at home — creates 1.45, concedes 1.27 · 11 matches

Namdhari away — creates 1.27, concedes 1.53 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SC Bengaluru attack 1.45 + Namdhari defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.49

Namdhari attack 1.27 + SC Bengaluru defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

SC Bengaluru scores more

42%

level

25%

Namdhari scores more

32%

SC Bengaluru at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "SC Bengaluru will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff