Scoreo

Sanna Khanh Hoa vs An GiangV.League 2 2020

Unknown 24', 2'
3/27/2021V.League 2V.League 2 · Round 2Sân vận động 19 tháng 8

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Sanna Khanh Hoa53%
×Draw26%
An Giang21%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sanna Khanh Hoa
1.48
An Giang
0.82

Sanna Khanh Hoa creates 80% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 11 away

creates per match

Sanna Khanh Hoa
1.41
An Giang
0.82

allows per match

Sanna Khanh Hoa
0.82
An Giang
1.55

finishing

Sanna Khanh Hoa+0.00on par
An Giang+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sanna Khanh Hoa

An Giang
0
1
2
3
4
0
0010%
018%
023%
031%
040%
1
1015%
1112%
125%
131%
140%
2
2011%
219%
224%
231%
240%
3
305%
314%
322%
330%
340%
4
402%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Sanna Khanh Hoa or draw
79%
Sanna Khanh Hoa or An Giang
74%
Draw or An Giang
47%

Winning margin

Sanna Khanh Hoa wins by 2+
27%
An Giang wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Sanna Khanh Hoa 1+ goals
77%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 2+ goals
43%
Sanna Khanh Hoa 3+ goals
19%
An Giang 1+ goals
56%
An Giang 2+ goals
20%
An Giang 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Sanna Khanh Hoa (draw refunded)
72%
An Giang (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sanna Khanh Hoa at homecreates 1.41, concedes 0.82 · 44 matches

An Giang awaycreates 0.82, concedes 1.55 · 11 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sanna Khanh Hoa attack 1.41 + An Giang defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.48

An Giang attack 0.82 + Sanna Khanh Hoa defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Sanna Khanh Hoa scores more
53%
level
26%
An Giang scores more
21%

Sanna Khanh Hoa at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Sanna Khanh Hoa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'
24'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

V.League 2: Sanna Khanh Hoa 2–0 An Giang

Sanna Khanh Hoa beat An Giang 2-0 in V.League 2 on March 27, 2021.

Goals: ? (2', 24').

The match was played at Sân vận động 19 tháng 8 in Nha Trang.