Sandhausen U19 5–0 Ulm U19: Result & Stats

Sandhausen U19

FT

5 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Ulm U19

P. Kiriazis 82'

A. Malaj 73'

A. Belachemi 45+3'

A. Alagi 35' (pen)

Y. Outman 1'

3/29/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 8Walter-Reinhard-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Sandhausen U1956%

×Draw20%

Ulm U1925%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sandhausen U19Expected goals in this matchUlm U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.39

1.56

Sandhausen U19

2.39

Ulm U19

1.56

Sandhausen U19 creates 53% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 45 away

1.87

creates per match

1.24

1.89

allows per match

2.91

creates per match

Sandhausen U19

1.87

Ulm U19

1.24

allows per match

Sandhausen U19

1.89

Ulm U19

2.91

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sandhausen U19+0.00on par

Ulm U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over75
Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes72
No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sandhausen U19 ↓

Ulm U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–05%

1–17%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

90%10%2.5

75%25%3.5

55%45%4.5

35%65%

Double chance

Sandhausen U19 or draw

75%

Sandhausen U19 or Ulm U19

80%

Draw or Ulm U19

44%

Winning margin

Sandhausen U19 wins by 2+

35%

Ulm U19 wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Sandhausen U19 1+ goals

91%

Sandhausen U19 2+ goals

69%

Sandhausen U19 3+ goals

42%

Ulm U19 1+ goals

79%

Ulm U19 2+ goals

46%

Ulm U19 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Sandhausen U19 (draw refunded)

69%

Ulm U19 (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

64%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sandhausen U19 at home — creates 1.87, concedes 1.89 · 38 matches

Ulm U19 away — creates 1.24, concedes 2.91 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sandhausen U19 attack 1.87 + Ulm U19 defence 2.91 → ÷2 → 2.39

Ulm U19 attack 1.24 + Sandhausen U19 defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Sandhausen U19 scores more

56%

level

20%

Ulm U19 scores more

25%

Sandhausen U19 at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Sandhausen U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

1'

Y. Outman

30'

S. Zulum← L. Zikora

34'

J. Reichle← E. Altay

35'

A. AlagiPenalty

45+3'

A. Belachemi

53'

A. Malaj← A. Belachemi

53'

A. Shala← D. Villiers

53'

P. Kiriazis← J. Waldmann

53'

V. Siontis← D. Maraj

68'

L. Erhart← N. Kleiser

68'

T. Kögel← B. Ehe

71'

A. Üstün← L. Gamer

73'

A. Malaj

82'

P. Kiriazis

Sandhausen

Ulm

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

Belachemi

Manager: I. Erceg

30'▲S. Zulum←▼L. Zikora

53'▲A. Malaj←▼A. Belachemi

53'▲A. Shala←▼D. Villiers

53'▲P. Kiriazis←▼J. Waldmann

53'▲V. Siontis←▼D. Maraj

71'▲A. Üstün←▼L. Gamer

Sandhausen U19 substitutes

ZulumMalajShalaKiriazisSiontisÜstünFuchs

Manager: R. Lechleiter

34'▲J. Reichle←▼E. Altay

68'▲L. Erhart←▼N. Kleiser

68'▲T. Kögel←▼B. Ehe

Ulm U19 substitutes

ReichleErhartKögelSherifiBrunnerWetter

Match Recap: Sandhausen U19 vs Ulm U19

Sandhausen U19 beat Ulm U19 5-0 in U19 Bundesliga on March 29, 2025.

Goals: Y. Outman (1'), A. Alagi (35' pen), A. Belachemi (45+3'), A. Malaj (73'), P. Kiriazis (82').

The match was played at Walter-Reinhard-Stadion in Sandhausen.

Sandhausen U19 vs Ulm U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sandhausen U19 vs Ulm U19