Sandhausen U19 1–1 Darmstadt 98 U19: Result & Stats

Sandhausen U19

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Darmstadt 98 U19

A. Belachemi 80'

L. Klappich 63' (pen)

2/15/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 3Walter-Reinhard-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Sandhausen U1946%

×Draw21%

Darmstadt 98 U1933%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.4%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sandhausen U19Expected goals in this matchDarmstadt 98 U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.06

1.73

Sandhausen U19

2.06

Darmstadt 98 U19

1.73

Sandhausen U19 creates 19% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 48 away

1.87

creates per match

1.56

1.89

allows per match

2.25

creates per match

Sandhausen U19

1.87

Darmstadt 98 U19

1.56

allows per match

Sandhausen U19

1.89

Darmstadt 98 U19

2.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sandhausen U19+0.00on par

Darmstadt 98 U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over73
Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes72
No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sandhausen U19 ↓

Darmstadt 98 U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–27%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

73%27%3.5

52%48%4.5

33%67%

Double chance

Sandhausen U19 or draw

67%

Sandhausen U19 or Darmstadt 98 U19

79%

Draw or Darmstadt 98 U19

54%

Winning margin

Sandhausen U19 wins by 2+

26%

Darmstadt 98 U19 wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Sandhausen U19 1+ goals

87%

Sandhausen U19 2+ goals

61%

Sandhausen U19 3+ goals

34%

Darmstadt 98 U19 1+ goals

82%

Darmstadt 98 U19 2+ goals

52%

Darmstadt 98 U19 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Sandhausen U19 (draw refunded)

58%

Darmstadt 98 U19 (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

64%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sandhausen U19 at home — creates 1.87, concedes 1.89 · 38 matches

Darmstadt 98 U19 away — creates 1.56, concedes 2.25 · 48 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sandhausen U19 attack 1.87 + Darmstadt 98 U19 defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.06

Darmstadt 98 U19 attack 1.56 + Sandhausen U19 defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Sandhausen U19 scores more

46%

level

21%

Darmstadt 98 U19 scores more

33%

Sandhausen U19 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Sandhausen U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

A. Belachemi← D. Maraj

46'

A. Malaj← A. Guiddir

63'

L. KlappichPenalty

69'

D. Villiers← J. Waldmann

73'

E. Smailji← A. Cacic

73'

G. Hetemaj← J. Buchberger

73'

J. Mahn← M. Balonier

74'

A. Üstün← A. Shala

80'

A. Belachemi

83'

A. Utermann← T. Steineck

88'

S. Kalberlah← J. Volkmann

Sandhausen

Darmstadt

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: I. Erceg

46'▲A. Belachemi←▼D. Maraj

46'▲A. Malaj←▼A. Guiddir

69'▲D. Villiers←▼J. Waldmann

74'▲A. Üstün←▼A. Shala

Sandhausen U19 substitutes

BelachemiMalajVilliersÜstünScheiermannZulumFuchs

Manager: P. Kurt

73'▲E. Smailji←▼A. Cacic

73'▲G. Hetemaj←▼J. Buchberger

73'▲J. Mahn←▼M. Balonier

83'▲A. Utermann←▼T. Steineck

88'▲S. Kalberlah←▼J. Volkmann

Darmstadt 98 U19 substitutes

SmailjiHetemajMahnUtermannKalberlahBrkićAumann