Darmstadt 98 U19 1–3 Sandhausen U19: Result & Stats

Darmstadt 98 U19

FT

1 – 3

HT: 1 – 0

Sandhausen U19

T. Steineck 44'

A. Malaj 52' (pen)

L. Gamer 49'

A. Alagi 48' (pen)

4/12/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 10Viktoria-Sportplatz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Darmstadt 98 U1951%

×Draw21%

Sandhausen U1928%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.4%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Darmstadt 98 U19Expected goals in this matchSandhausen U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.09

1.52

Darmstadt 98 U19

2.09

Sandhausen U19

1.52

Darmstadt 98 U19 creates 38% more chances

Season form · 49 home / 38 away

1.73

creates per match

1.55

1.49

allows per match

2.45

creates per match

Darmstadt 98 U19

1.73

Sandhausen U19

1.55

allows per match

Darmstadt 98 U19

1.49

Sandhausen U19

2.45

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Darmstadt 98 U19+0.00on par

Sandhausen U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over70
Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Darmstadt 98 U19 ↓

Sandhausen U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

70%30%3.5

48%52%4.5

29%71%

Double chance

Darmstadt 98 U19 or draw

72%

Darmstadt 98 U19 or Sandhausen U19

79%

Draw or Sandhausen U19

49%

Winning margin

Darmstadt 98 U19 wins by 2+

30%

Sandhausen U19 wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Darmstadt 98 U19 1+ goals

88%

Darmstadt 98 U19 2+ goals

62%

Darmstadt 98 U19 3+ goals

34%

Sandhausen U19 1+ goals

78%

Sandhausen U19 2+ goals

45%

Sandhausen U19 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

Darmstadt 98 U19 (draw refunded)

64%

Sandhausen U19 (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

60%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Darmstadt 98 U19 at home — creates 1.73, concedes 1.49 · 49 matches

Sandhausen U19 away — creates 1.55, concedes 2.45 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Darmstadt 98 U19 attack 1.73 + Sandhausen U19 defence 2.45 → ÷2 → 2.09

Sandhausen U19 attack 1.55 + Darmstadt 98 U19 defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Darmstadt 98 U19 scores more

51%

level

21%

Sandhausen U19 scores more

28%

Darmstadt 98 U19 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Darmstadt 98 U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

44'

T. Steineck

46'

D. Maraj← V. Siontis

46'

D. Villiers← A. Shala

48'

A. AlagiPenalty

49'

L. Gamer

52'

A. MalajPenalty

58'

D. Laroussi← A. Cacic

58'

E. Smailji← M. Merx

75'

A. Brkić← J. Volkmann

75'

A. Utermann← J. Buchberger

75'

J. Mahn← K. Kunstmann

75'

A. Üstün← A. Malaj

84'

L. Göttmann← G. Hetemaj

85'

P. Kiriazis← A. Belachemi

Darmstadt

Sandhausen

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

Manager: P. Kurt

58'▲D. Laroussi←▼A. Cacic

58'▲E. Smailji←▼M. Merx

75'▲A. Brkić←▼J. Volkmann

75'▲A. Utermann←▼J. Buchberger

75'▲J. Mahn←▼K. Kunstmann

84'▲L. Göttmann←▼G. Hetemaj

Darmstadt 98 U19 substitutes

LaroussiSmailjiBrkićUtermannMahnGöttmannSchön

Manager: I. Erceg

46'▲D. Maraj←▼V. Siontis

46'▲D. Villiers←▼A. Shala

75'▲A. Üstün←▼A. Malaj

85'▲P. Kiriazis←▼A. Belachemi

Sandhausen U19 substitutes

MarajVilliersÜstünKiriazisMendesevicLoosZulum

U19 Bundesliga: Darmstadt 98 U19 1–3 Sandhausen U19

Sandhausen U19 beat Darmstadt 98 U19 3-1 in U19 Bundesliga on April 12, 2025.

Goals: T. Steineck (44'), A. Alagi (48' pen), L. Gamer (49'), A. Malaj (52' pen).

The match was played at Viktoria-Sportplatz in Rödermark.

Darmstadt 98 U19 vs Sandhausen U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Darmstadt 98 U19 1–3 Sandhausen U19