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Sandefjord vs Bryne — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Sandefjord
Sandefjord
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Bryne
Bryne
1/30/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Sandefjord60%
×Draw21%
Bryne19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sandefjord
2.00
Bryne
1.01

Sandefjord creates 98% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 11 away

creates per match

Sandefjord
2.08
Bryne
1.09

allows per match

Sandefjord
0.92
Bryne
1.91

finishing

Sandefjord+0.00on par
Bryne+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sandefjord ↓

Bryne →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Sandefjord or draw
81%
Sandefjord or Bryne
79%
Draw or Bryne
40%

Winning margin

Sandefjord wins by 2+
36%
Bryne wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Sandefjord 1+ goals
86%
Sandefjord 2+ goals
59%
Sandefjord 3+ goals
32%
Bryne 1+ goals
64%
Bryne 2+ goals
27%
Bryne 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Sandefjord (draw refunded)
76%
Bryne (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sandefjord at home — creates 2.08, concedes 0.92 · 13 matches

Bryne away — creates 1.09, concedes 1.91 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sandefjord attack 2.08 + Bryne defence 1.91 → ÷2 → 2.00

Bryne attack 1.09 + Sandefjord defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Sandefjord scores more
60%
level
21%
Bryne scores more
19%

Sandefjord at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Sandefjord will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Sandefjord
Bryne
Andreas Tegstrom
Manager: Andreas Tegstrom
Ole Knappen
Manager: Ole Knappen

Match Recap: Sandefjord vs Bryne

Sandefjord beat Bryne 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 30, 2026.