Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Camioneros — Torneo Federal A 2018

San Martín Mendoza
San Martín Mendoza
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Deportivo Camioneros
Deportivo Camioneros
5/19/2024Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal A · Group 2 - 10Estadio General José de San Martín

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

San Martín Mendoza48%
×Draw31%
Deportivo Camioneros20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

San Martín Mendoza
1.16
Deportivo Camioneros
0.64

San Martín Mendoza creates 81% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 74 away

creates per match

San Martín Mendoza
0.98
Deportivo Camioneros
0.77

allows per match

San Martín Mendoza
0.51
Deportivo Camioneros
1.34

finishing

San Martín Mendoza+0.00on par
Deportivo Camioneros+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

68%No
  • No68
  • Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

San Martín Mendoza ↓

Deportivo Camioneros →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–017%
0–111%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–019%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
83%17%1.5
54%46%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

San Martín Mendoza or draw
80%
San Martín Mendoza or Deportivo Camioneros
69%
Draw or Deportivo Camioneros
52%

Winning margin

San Martín Mendoza wins by 2+
21%
Deportivo Camioneros wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

San Martín Mendoza 1+ goals
69%
San Martín Mendoza 2+ goals
32%
San Martín Mendoza 3+ goals
11%
Deportivo Camioneros 1+ goals
47%
Deportivo Camioneros 2+ goals
14%
Deportivo Camioneros 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

San Martín Mendoza (draw refunded)
70%
Deportivo Camioneros (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

San Martín Mendoza at home — creates 0.98, concedes 0.51 · 51 matches

Deportivo Camioneros away — creates 0.77, concedes 1.34 · 74 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

San Martín Mendoza attack 0.98 + Deportivo Camioneros defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.16

Deportivo Camioneros attack 0.77 + San Martín Mendoza defence 0.51 → ÷2 → 0.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

San Martín Mendoza scores more
48%
level
31%
Deportivo Camioneros scores more
20%

San Martín Mendoza at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "San Martín Mendoza will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Camioneros

San Martín Mendoza and Deportivo Camioneros drew 0-0 in Torneo Federal A on May 19, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio General José de San Martín in San Martín, Provincia de Mendoza.