San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2–1 Real Oruro

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

FT

2 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Real Oruro

A. Cordoba 75'

A. Terrazas 48'

D. Porozo 2'

4/23/2026

Primera División · Apertura - 3Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo53%

×Draw21%

Real Oruro26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

San Antonio Bulo BuloExpected goals in this matchReal Oruro

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.20

1.50

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

2.20

Real Oruro

1.50

San Antonio Bulo Bulo creates 47% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 21 away

1.96

creates per match

1.43

1.58

allows per match

2.43

creates per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1.96

Real Oruro

1.43

allows per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1.58

Real Oruro

2.43

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par

Real Oruro+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes69
No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

San Antonio Bulo Bulo ↓

Real Oruro →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

50%50%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw

74%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo or Real Oruro

79%

Draw or Real Oruro

47%

Winning margin

San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+

32%

Real Oruro wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals

89%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals

64%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals

37%

Real Oruro 1+ goals

78%

Real Oruro 2+ goals

44%

Real Oruro 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)

67%

Real Oruro (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

61%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home — creates 1.96, concedes 1.58 · 45 matches

Real Oruro away — creates 1.43, concedes 2.43 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 1.96 + Real Oruro defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 2.20

Real Oruro attack 1.43 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more

53%

level

21%

Real Oruro scores more

26%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "San Antonio Bulo Bulo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

A. Terrazas

San Antonio Bulo Bulo · M

7.7

Match Events

2'

D. Porozo↳ A. Fernandez

41'

Carlos Ribera

48'

A. Terrazas

59'

J. Briceno← R. Menacho

59'

S. Guerra← J. Herrera

61'

A. Quinonez← A. Fernandez

62'

J. Quinonez← J. Montenegro

67'

Cristhian Machado

72'

Yonatan Cabral

72'

H. Tifner← D. Porozo

73'

K. Merida← Mercado Diego

73'

A. Medina← C. Machado

73'

Y. Vallejos← I. Huayhuata

75'

A. Cordoba

80'

C. Romero← Y. Cabral

80'

A. Barron← D. Castellon

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SanReal

Overview

71%Possession29%

18Total Shots7

10Corners3

10Fouls11

Shots

18Total Shots7

8On Target2

6Off Target2

4Blocked3

8Inside Box4

10Outside Box3

Passing

71%Possession29%

445Total Passes184

382Accurate Passes113

86%Pass Accuracy61%

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

Discipline

10Fouls11

2Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards1

1Offsides0

Match Recap: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Oruro

San Antonio Bulo Bulo beat Real Oruro 2-1 in Primera División on April 23, 2026.

Goals: D. Porozo (2'), A. Terrazas (48'), A. Cordoba (75').

San Antonio Bulo Bulo controlled possession (71%) and registered 18 shots to 7.

The match was played at Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas in Entre Rios.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Oruro — Primera División 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Oruro