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Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — Primera División 2026

Real Oruro
Real Oruro
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
A. Avalos 90'
R. Vargas 90'
7/20/2025Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Apertura - 15Estadio Jesús Bermúdez

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Real Oruro50%
×Draw21%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Real Oruro
2.22
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.67

Real Oruro creates 33% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 41 away

creates per match

Real Oruro
2.57
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.34

allows per match

Real Oruro
2.00
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.88

finishing

Real Oruro+0.00on par
San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Oruro ↓

San Antonio Bulo Bulo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–26%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Real Oruro or draw
71%
Real Oruro or San Antonio Bulo Bulo
79%
Draw or San Antonio Bulo Bulo
50%

Winning margin

Real Oruro wins by 2+
30%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Real Oruro 1+ goals
89%
Real Oruro 2+ goals
65%
Real Oruro 3+ goals
38%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals
81%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals
50%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Real Oruro (draw refunded)
63%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Oruro at home — creates 2.57, concedes 2.00 · 21 matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo away — creates 1.34, concedes 1.88 · 41 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Oruro attack 2.57 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 2.22

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 1.34 + Real Oruro defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Real Oruro scores more
50%
level
21%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more
29%

Real Oruro at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Real Oruro will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7
J. HerreraSan Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo · M
7.5

Match Events

20'
Widen Saucedo
23'
Eduardo ÁlvarezCard upgrade
24'
Eduardo Álvarez
25'
Julio Vila
45'
Jhon Jairo Villegas
45+10'
Widen SaucedoGoal cancelled
46'
J. Prieto← D. Fernandez
46'
R. Orihuela← Y. Vallejos
51'
Santiago Arce
54'
J. Montenegro← W. Saucedo
54'
A. Avalos← H. Rodriguez
64'
J. Herrera← S. Arce
75'
Adalid TerrazasPenalty cancelled
77'
R. Vargas← A. Vasquez
81'
R. Cuellar Orti← Gustavo Oliveira
86'
Diego Zamora
89'
C. Ribera← S. Zeballos
90+11'
L. Vila← J. Thomas
90'
A. Avalos↳ J. Herrera
90'
R. Vargas↳ J. Montenegro

Possession

37%Real

Shots

11Real

Pass accuracy

43%Real

Statistics

RealSan
Overview
37%Possession63%
11Total Shots15
0.48Expected Goals (xG)1.48
4Corners1
11Fouls12
Shots
11Total Shots15
2On Target7
7Off Target6
2Blocked2
3Inside Box7
8Outside Box8
Passing
37%Possession63%
218Total Passes387
135Accurate Passes315
62%Pass Accuracy81%
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
Discipline
11Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
0Offsides5

Match Recap: Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

San Antonio Bulo Bulo beat Real Oruro 2-0 in Primera División on July 20, 2025.

Goals: A. Avalos (90'), R. Vargas (90').

San Antonio Bulo Bulo controlled possession (63%) and registered 15 shots to 11.

The match was played at Estadio Jesús Bermúdez in Oruro.