San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3–2 Olimpia: Result & Stats

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

FT

3 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Olimpia

J. Herrera 90' (pen)

L. Barboza 74'

S. Viveros 30'

R. Ortiz 79'

H. Benitez Sanchez 64'

4/2/2025

CONMEBOL Libertadores · Group Stage - 1Estadio Félix Capriles

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo41%

×Draw23%

Olimpia36%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

San Antonio Bulo BuloExpected goals in this matchOlimpia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.73

1.62

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1.73

Olimpia

1.62

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 3 home / 25 away

1.67

creates per match

1.24

2.00

allows per match

1.80

creates per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1.67

Olimpia

1.24

allows per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

2.00

Olimpia

1.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par

Olimpia+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

San Antonio Bulo Bulo ↓

Olimpia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw

64%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo or Olimpia

77%

Draw or Olimpia

59%

Winning margin

San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+

21%

Olimpia wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals

82%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals

52%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals

25%

Olimpia 1+ goals

80%

Olimpia 2+ goals

48%

Olimpia 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)

53%

Olimpia (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home — creates 1.67, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

Olimpia away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.80 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 1.67 + Olimpia defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.73

Olimpia attack 1.24 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.62

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more

41%

level

23%

Olimpia scores more

36%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "San Antonio Bulo Bulo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

O. Blanco

San Antonio Bulo Bulo · F

8.0

Match Events

30'

S. Viveros

46'

J. Herrera← E. Sanchez

50'

H. Rodriguez← S. Viveros

59'

Alonso Sánchez

61'

Facundo Zabala

64'

H. Benitez Sanchez↳ F. Zabala

65'

Julio Herrera

66'

C. Olmedo← R. Rojas

66'

E. Lopez← H. Fernandez

74'

Luis BarbozaGoal confirmed

74'

J. Martines← M. Otazu

74'

L. Barboza↳ O. Blanco

76'

78'

79'

83'

84'

A. Paredes← F. Zabala

84'

T. Sanabria← J. Dominguez

90+3'

Luis Barboza

90+2'

Luis BarbozaRed card cancelled

90'

J. HerreraPenalty

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SanOlimpia

Overview

43%Possession57%

14Total Shots15

1.94Expected Goals (xG)0.94

5Corners9

15Fouls19

Shots

14Total Shots15

6On Target7

5Off Target6

3Blocked2

5Inside Box8

9Outside Box7

Passing

43%Possession57%

226Total Passes296

167Accurate Passes230

74%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

5Saves3

-0.80Goals Prevented-0.80

Discipline

15Fouls19

5Yellow Cards2

0Offsides2

CONMEBOL Libertadores: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3–2 Olimpia

San Antonio Bulo Bulo beat Olimpia 3-2 in CONMEBOL Libertadores on April 2, 2025.

Goals: S. Viveros (30'), H. Benitez Sanchez (64'), L. Barboza (74'), R. Ortiz (79'), J. Herrera (90' pen).

Olimpia controlled possession (57%) and registered 15 shots to 14.

The match was played at Estadio Félix Capriles in Cochabamba.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Olimpia — CONMEBOL Libertadores 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3–2 Olimpia