Olimpia 4–0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo: Result & Stats

Olimpia

FT

4 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

E. Lopez 82'

D. Gonzalez 56'

I. Leguizamon 53'

R. Redes 52'

5/29/2025

CONMEBOL Libertadores · Group Stage - 6Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Olimpia77%

×Draw16%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo7%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

OlimpiaExpected goals in this matchSan Antonio Bulo Bulo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.27

0.54

Olimpia

2.27

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

0.54

Olimpia creates 320% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 3 away

1.54

creates per match

0.00

1.08

allows per match

3.00

creates per match

Olimpia

1.54

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

0.00

allows per match

Olimpia

1.08

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

3.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Olimpia+0.00on par

San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No63
Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olimpia ↓

San Antonio Bulo Bulo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–17%

1–22%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–016%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–012%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–07%

4–14%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (16%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Olimpia or draw

93%

Olimpia or San Antonio Bulo Bulo

84%

Draw or San Antonio Bulo Bulo

23%

Winning margin

Olimpia wins by 2+

52%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+

2%

Team goals

Olimpia 1+ goals

90%

Olimpia 2+ goals

66%

Olimpia 3+ goals

39%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals

42%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals

10%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Olimpia (draw refunded)

91%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)

9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olimpia at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.08 · 24 matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo away — creates 0.00, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olimpia attack 1.54 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.27

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 0.00 + Olimpia defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 77%?"

Olimpia scores more

77%

level

16%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more

7%

Olimpia at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 77% does not mean "Olimpia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

R. Ortiz

Olimpia · M

8.6

Match Events

21'

Sebastián Viveros

22'

Rodrigo Saracho

24'

Robert Rojas

52'

R. Redes↳ J. Dominguez

53'

I. Leguizamon↳ L. Abreu

56'

D. Gonzalez↳ I. Leguizamon

64'

E. Sanchez← J. Montenegro

64'

M. Otazu← J. Aguilar

68'

A. F. Franco Zayas← R. Ortiz

68'

E. Lopez← D. Gonzalez

72'

H. Fernandez← I. Leguizamon

72'

A. Montiel← R. Redes

73'

Hugo Fernández

75'

A. Paredes← F. Zabala

79'

Enrique Flores

79'

G. Mendoza← J. Flores

82'

E. Lopez

83'

K. Merida← J. Herrera

83'

R. Vargas← J. Martines

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

OlimpiaSan

Overview

60%Possession40%

25Total Shots8

2.87Expected Goals (xG)0.86

9Corners2

15Fouls8

Shots

25Total Shots8

9On Target2

12Off Target3

4Blocked3

16Inside Box5

9Outside Box3

Passing

60%Possession40%

512Total Passes345

416Accurate Passes260

81%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

-0.82Goals Prevented-0.82

Discipline

15Fouls8

2Yellow Cards3

5Offsides3

CONMEBOL Libertadores: Olimpia 4–0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Olimpia beat San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4-0 in CONMEBOL Libertadores on May 29, 2025.

Goals: R. Redes (52'), I. Leguizamon (53'), D. Gonzalez (56'), E. Lopez (82').

Olimpia controlled possession (60%) and registered 25 shots to 8.

The match was played at Estadio Defensores del Chaco in Asuncion.

Olimpia vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — CONMEBOL Libertadores 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores: Olimpia 4–0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo