Samartex 2–1 Eleven Wonders: Result & Stats

Samartex

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Eleven Wonders

E. Mamah 54' (pen), 21'

E. K. Asamoah 82'

10/12/2025

Premier League · Round 5Samartex Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Samartex63%

×Draw24%

Eleven Wonders12%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SamartexExpected goals in this matchEleven Wonders

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

0.53

Samartex

1.59

Eleven Wonders

0.53

Samartex creates 200% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 58 away

1.40

creates per match

0.60

0.46

allows per match

1.79

creates per match

Samartex

1.40

Eleven Wonders

0.60

allows per match

Samartex

0.46

Eleven Wonders

1.79

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Samartex+0.00on par

Eleven Wonders+0.00on par

Total goals

Under65
Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No67
Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Samartex ↓

Eleven Wonders →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–16%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–019%

1–110%

1–23%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–015%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

35%65%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Samartex or draw

88%

Samartex or Eleven Wonders

76%

Draw or Eleven Wonders

37%

Winning margin

Samartex wins by 2+

35%

Eleven Wonders wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Samartex 1+ goals

80%

Samartex 2+ goals

47%

Samartex 3+ goals

21%

Eleven Wonders 1+ goals

41%

Eleven Wonders 2+ goals

10%

Eleven Wonders 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Samartex (draw refunded)

84%

Eleven Wonders (draw refunded)

16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

23%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Samartex at home — creates 1.40, concedes 0.46 · 68 matches

Eleven Wonders away — creates 0.60, concedes 1.79 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Samartex attack 1.40 + Eleven Wonders defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.59

Eleven Wonders attack 0.60 + Samartex defence 0.46 → ÷2 → 0.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Samartex scores more

63%

level

24%

Eleven Wonders scores more

12%

Samartex at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Samartex will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'

24'

25'

35'

47'

47'

W. Danquah← M. Amponsah

54'

E. MamahPenalty

61'

71'

72'

74'

74'

M. Mankuyeli← O. Zakaria

81'

S. Korsah

82'

E. K. Asamoah

90+6'

K. Sarfo←

Samartex

Eleven

21

Baah

30

▼

27

24

3

4

12

⚽

Asamoah

8

Awere

9

Agbloe

23

▼

Amponsah

10

▼

16

2

24

25

30

19

▼

Boateng

10

▼

Awuah

14

Sarpong

20

⚽2

Mamah

18

▼

Zakaria

6

▼

Latif

Manager: N. Amadu

47'▲G. Sefah←▼C. Boateng

61'▲K. Owusu←▼A. Latif

74'▲S. Agyei←▼D. Awuah

74'▲M. Mankuyeli←▼O. Zakaria

90+6'▲K. Sarfo←▼—

Samartex substitutes

1Issah23Grippman28Nsenkyire11Napari12Sefah15Agyei4Owusu27Sarfo29Mankuyeli

47'▲W. Danquah←▼M. Amponsah

71'▲R. Munah←▼E. Boateng

72'▲S. Korsah←▼I. Ahmed

Eleven Wonders substitutes

22Ampaabeng20Korsah17Akorlor26Dwomoh18Munah6Milla14Danquah25Dotse11Zackaria

Premier League: Samartex 2–1 Eleven Wonders

Samartex beat Eleven Wonders 2-1 in Premier League on October 12, 2025.

Goals: E. Mamah (21', 54' pen), E. K. Asamoah (82').

The match was played at Samartex Park in Tarkwa.

Samartex vs Eleven Wonders — Premier League 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Premier League: Samartex 2–1 Eleven Wonders