Eleven Wonders vs Samartex — Premier League 2019
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 58+ matches
Eleven Wonders42%
Samartex26%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Eleven Wonders creates 37% more chances
Season form · 58 home / 68 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under71
- Over29
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No64
- Yes36
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Eleven Wonders ↓
Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Eleven Wonders at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.03 · 58 matches
Samartex away — creates 0.54, concedes 1.12 · 68 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Eleven Wonders attack 1.05 + Samartex defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.08
Samartex attack 0.54 + Eleven Wonders defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.79
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 42%?"
Eleven Wonders at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 42% does not mean "Eleven Wonders will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Events
Head to Head
Medeama
Bibiani Gold Stars
Hearts of Oak
Dreams
Aduana StarsSamartex
Karela
Vision
Berekum Chelsea
Asante Kotoko
Swedru All Blacks
Young Apostles
Nations
Bechem United
Basake Holy Stars
Heart of Lions
Hohoe UnitedEleven WondersIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Eleven Wonders host Samartex on Friday, 20 March 2026 at 15:00. The match is part of the Premier League 2019/2020 season.
Match Recap: Eleven Wonders vs Samartex
Eleven Wonders and Samartex drew 2-2 in Premier League on March 20, 2026.
Goals: G. Osei (6'), E. K. Asamoah (63', 90'), E. Mamah (68' pen).
The match was played at University of Ghana Sports Stadium in Accra.