Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Salford City vs Oldham — League Two 2024

Salford City
Salford City
Preview
14:00
Oldham
Oldham
4/24/2027League TwoLeague Two · Round 43Peninsula Stadium
Big match
43%
Salford City
model favours
43%26%31%

Salford City score first in only 27% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
under 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

Salford City43%
×Draw26%
Oldham31%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Salford City
1.44
Oldham
1.17

Salford City creates 23% more chances

Season form · 49 home / 48 away

creates per match

Salford City
1.43
Oldham
1.21

allows per match

Salford City
1.12
Oldham
1.44

finishing

Salford City+0.00on par
Oldham+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Salford City ↓

Oldham →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Salford City or draw
69%
Salford City or Oldham
74%
Draw or Oldham
57%

Winning margin

Salford City wins by 2+
21%
Oldham wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Salford City 1+ goals
76%
Salford City 2+ goals
42%
Salford City 3+ goals
18%
Oldham 1+ goals
69%
Oldham 2+ goals
33%
Oldham 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Salford City (draw refunded)
58%
Oldham (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Salford City at home — creates 1.43, concedes 1.12 · 49 matches

Oldham away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.44 · 48 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Salford City attack 1.43 + Oldham defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.44

Oldham attack 1.21 + Salford City defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Salford City scores more
43%
level
26%
Oldham scores more
31%

Salford City at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Salford City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Salford City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings
  • Salford City fall short of their xG (0.8 vs 1.7 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Salford City
Attack-heavy
Oldham
Attack-heavy
51%Possession47%
65%Pass accuracy63%
13.1Shots12.8
1.70xGBiggest gap1.57
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Salford CityOldham

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

4
Salford City
0
Draws
1
Oldham
Avg goals: 2BTTS: 40%
2–11–02–12–00–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
City
LLWDW
Oldham
WLLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Salford City vs Oldham — Match Preview

Salford City face Oldham on April 24, 2027 in this League Two fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Salford City host Oldham at Peninsula Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.