Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Sacachispas vs Comunicaciones — Primera B Metropolitana 2026

Sacachispas
Sacachispas
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Comunicaciones
Comunicaciones
7/1/2024Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Clausura - 2Estadio Beto Larrosa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 111+ matches

Sacachispas37%
×Draw30%
Comunicaciones33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sacachispas
1.09
Comunicaciones
1.00

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 111 home / 140 away

creates per match

Sacachispas
0.99
Comunicaciones
1.01

allows per match

Sacachispas
0.99
Comunicaciones
1.20

finishing

Sacachispas+0.00on par
Comunicaciones+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sacachispas ↓

Comunicaciones →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Sacachispas or draw
67%
Sacachispas or Comunicaciones
70%
Draw or Comunicaciones
63%

Winning margin

Sacachispas wins by 2+
15%
Comunicaciones wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Sacachispas 1+ goals
66%
Sacachispas 2+ goals
30%
Sacachispas 3+ goals
10%
Comunicaciones 1+ goals
63%
Comunicaciones 2+ goals
26%
Comunicaciones 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Sacachispas (draw refunded)
53%
Comunicaciones (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sacachispas at home — creates 0.99, concedes 0.99 · 111 matches

Comunicaciones away — creates 1.01, concedes 1.20 · 140 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sacachispas attack 0.99 + Comunicaciones defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.09

Comunicaciones attack 1.01 + Sacachispas defence 0.99 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Sacachispas scores more
37%
level
30%
Comunicaciones scores more
33%

Sacachispas at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Sacachispas will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Sacachispas vs Comunicaciones

Sacachispas and Comunicaciones drew 1-1 in Primera B Metropolitana on July 1, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Beto Larrosa in Villa Soldati, Provincia de Buenos Aires.