Sabadell 0–0 Linense: Result & Stats

Sabadell

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Linense

9/4/2021

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 2Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Sabadell53%

×Draw29%

Linense17%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SabadellExpected goals in this matchLinense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.29

0.60

Sabadell

1.29

Linense

0.60

Sabadell creates 115% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 19 away

1.21

creates per match

0.47

0.74

allows per match

1.37

creates per match

Sabadell

1.21

Linense

0.47

allows per match

Sabadell

0.74

Linense

1.37

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sabadell+0.00on par

Linense+0.00on par

Total goals

Under71
Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No67
Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sabadell ↓

Linense →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–015%

0–19%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–019%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

85%15%1.5

56%44%2.5

29%71%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Sabadell or draw

83%

Sabadell or Linense

71%

Draw or Linense

47%

Winning margin

Sabadell wins by 2+

25%

Linense wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Sabadell 1+ goals

72%

Sabadell 2+ goals

37%

Sabadell 3+ goals

14%

Linense 1+ goals

45%

Linense 2+ goals

12%

Linense 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Sabadell (draw refunded)

76%

Linense (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sabadell at home — creates 1.21, concedes 0.74 · 57 matches

Linense away — creates 0.47, concedes 1.37 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sabadell attack 1.21 + Linense defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.29

Linense attack 0.47 + Sabadell defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 0.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Sabadell scores more

53%

level

29%

Linense scores more

17%

Sabadell at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Sabadell will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'

C. Morgado

47'

Loren

52'

56'

Kaxe← M. Ezzarfani

68'

Aarón Rey← Jacobo González

68'

Xavi Boniquet← Ramón Folch

72'

A. Bandaogo← A. Coulibaly

78'

N. Miras

83'

Dani Sánchez← Diego Caballo

83'

M. Cham← Gerard Oliva

88'

J. Masllorens

90+1'

90+5'

90+2'

Leandro Martínez← Alhassan Koroma

Sabadell

Linense

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Antonio Hidalgo

56'▲Kaxe←▼M. Ezzarfani

68'▲Aarón Rey←▼Jacobo González

68'▲Xavi Boniquet←▼Ramón Folch

83'▲Dani Sánchez←▼Diego Caballo

Sabadell substitutes

KaxeReyBoniquetSánchezAstalsBernardLealMolinaMarcVargasBelmonteAltimiraQuintero

Manager: Romerito

72'▲A. Bandaogo←▼A. Coulibaly

83'▲M. Cham←▼Gerard Oliva

90+2'▲Leandro Martínez←▼Alhassan Koroma

Linense substitutes

BandaogoChamMartínezChironiDjandiArroyoKoromaLavelaKania

Match Recap: Sabadell vs Linense

Sabadell and Linense drew 0-0 in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on September 4, 2021.

The match was played at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta in Sabadell.

Sabadell vs Linense — Primera División RFEF - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sabadell vs Linense