Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ruh Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv — Premier League 2019

Ruh Lviv
Ruh Lviv
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
3/29/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 22Arena Lviv

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Ruh Lviv14%
×Draw21%
Dynamo Kyiv65%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ruh Lviv
0.79
Dynamo Kyiv
1.95

Dynamo Kyiv creates 147% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 6 away

creates per match

Ruh Lviv
0.91
Dynamo Kyiv
2.49

allows per match

Ruh Lviv
1.41
Dynamo Kyiv
0.67

finishing

Ruh Lviv+0.31scores more
Dynamo Kyiv+0.51scores more

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ruh Lviv ↓

Dynamo Kyiv →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–113%
0–212%
0–38%
0–44%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–24%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Ruh Lviv or draw
35%
Ruh Lviv or Dynamo Kyiv
79%
Draw or Dynamo Kyiv
86%

Winning margin

Ruh Lviv wins by 2+
4%
Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
39%

Team goals

Ruh Lviv 1+ goals
55%
Ruh Lviv 2+ goals
19%
Ruh Lviv 3+ goals
5%
Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
86%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
58%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Ruh Lviv (draw refunded)
18%
Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
82%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ruh Lviv at home — creates 0.91, concedes 1.41 · 9 matches

Dynamo Kyiv away — creates 2.49, concedes 0.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ruh Lviv attack 0.91 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.79

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.49 + Ruh Lviv defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Ruh Lviv scores more
14%
level
21%
Dynamo Kyiv scores more
65%

Dynamo Kyiv at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Dynamo Kyiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Ruh Lviv 0–2 Dynamo Kyiv

Dynamo Kyiv beat Ruh Lviv 2-0 in Premier League on March 29, 2025.

The match was played at Arena Lviv in Lviv.