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Rudar Prijedor vs Radnik Bijeljina — Premijer Liga 2019

Rudar Prijedor
Rudar Prijedor
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
2/21/2026Premijer LigaPremijer Liga · Round 22Gradski Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Rudar Prijedor45%
×Draw26%
Radnik Bijeljina29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rudar Prijedor
1.44
Radnik Bijeljina
1.09

Rudar Prijedor creates 32% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 80 away

creates per match

Rudar Prijedor
1.06
Radnik Bijeljina
0.84

allows per match

Rudar Prijedor
1.35
Radnik Bijeljina
1.81

finishing

Rudar Prijedor+0.00on par
Radnik Bijeljina+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rudar Prijedor ↓

Radnik Bijeljina →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Rudar Prijedor or draw
71%
Rudar Prijedor or Radnik Bijeljina
74%
Draw or Radnik Bijeljina
55%

Winning margin

Rudar Prijedor wins by 2+
22%
Radnik Bijeljina wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Rudar Prijedor 1+ goals
76%
Rudar Prijedor 2+ goals
42%
Rudar Prijedor 3+ goals
18%
Radnik Bijeljina 1+ goals
66%
Radnik Bijeljina 2+ goals
30%
Radnik Bijeljina 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Rudar Prijedor (draw refunded)
61%
Radnik Bijeljina (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rudar Prijedor at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.35 · 34 matches

Radnik Bijeljina away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.81 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rudar Prijedor attack 1.06 + Radnik Bijeljina defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.44

Radnik Bijeljina attack 0.84 + Rudar Prijedor defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Rudar Prijedor scores more
45%
level
26%
Radnik Bijeljina scores more
29%

Rudar Prijedor at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Rudar Prijedor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premijer Liga: Rudar Prijedor 0–0 Radnik Bijeljina

Rudar Prijedor and Radnik Bijeljina drew 0-0 in Premijer Liga on February 21, 2026.

The match was played at Gradski Stadion in Prijedor.