Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Rubin Kazan U20 vs Sochi U20 — Youth Championship 2026

Rubin Kazan U20
Rubin Kazan U20
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Sochi U20
Sochi U20
6/28/2024Youth ChampionshipYouth Championship · Round 12Stadion Trudovye rezervy

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 86+ matches

Rubin Kazan U2041%
×Draw25%
Sochi U2033%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rubin Kazan U20
1.49
Sochi U20
1.31

Rubin Kazan U20 creates 14% more chances

Season form · 86 home / 92 away

creates per match

Rubin Kazan U20
1.27
Sochi U20
1.33

allows per match

Rubin Kazan U20
1.28
Sochi U20
1.71

finishing

Rubin Kazan U20+0.00on par
Sochi U20+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rubin Kazan U20 ↓

Sochi U20 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Rubin Kazan U20 or draw
67%
Rubin Kazan U20 or Sochi U20
75%
Draw or Sochi U20
59%

Winning margin

Rubin Kazan U20 wins by 2+
20%
Sochi U20 wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Rubin Kazan U20 1+ goals
77%
Rubin Kazan U20 2+ goals
44%
Rubin Kazan U20 3+ goals
19%
Sochi U20 1+ goals
73%
Sochi U20 2+ goals
38%
Sochi U20 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Rubin Kazan U20 (draw refunded)
55%
Sochi U20 (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rubin Kazan U20 at home — creates 1.27, concedes 1.28 · 86 matches

Sochi U20 away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.71 · 92 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rubin Kazan U20 attack 1.27 + Sochi U20 defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.49

Sochi U20 attack 1.33 + Rubin Kazan U20 defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Rubin Kazan U20 scores more
41%
level
25%
Sochi U20 scores more
33%

Rubin Kazan U20 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Rubin Kazan U20 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Rubin Kazan U20 vs Sochi U20

Sochi U20 beat Rubin Kazan U20 1-0 in Youth Championship on June 28, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Trudovye rezervy in Kazan'.