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RSK Rabrovo vs Sloga Požega — Srpska Liga - West 2025

RSK Rabrovo
RSK Rabrovo
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Sloga Požega
Sloga Požega
3/27/2022Srpska Liga - WestSrpska Liga - West · West - 19Stadion RSK Rabrovo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

RSK Rabrovo33%
×Draw27%
Sloga Požega39%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

RSK Rabrovo
1.16
Sloga Požega
1.28

Sloga Požega creates 10% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 16 away

creates per match

RSK Rabrovo
1.25
Sloga Požega
0.81

allows per match

RSK Rabrovo
1.75
Sloga Požega
1.06

finishing

RSK Rabrovo+0.00on par
Sloga Požega+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RSK Rabrovo ↓

Sloga Požega →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–111%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

RSK Rabrovo or draw
61%
RSK Rabrovo or Sloga Požega
73%
Draw or Sloga Požega
67%

Winning margin

RSK Rabrovo wins by 2+
14%
Sloga Požega wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

RSK Rabrovo 1+ goals
69%
RSK Rabrovo 2+ goals
32%
RSK Rabrovo 3+ goals
11%
Sloga Požega 1+ goals
72%
Sloga Požega 2+ goals
37%
Sloga Požega 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

RSK Rabrovo (draw refunded)
46%
Sloga Požega (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RSK Rabrovo at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.75 · 12 matches

Sloga Požega away — creates 0.81, concedes 1.06 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RSK Rabrovo attack 1.25 + Sloga Požega defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.16

Sloga Požega attack 0.81 + RSK Rabrovo defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

RSK Rabrovo scores more
33%
level
27%
Sloga Požega scores more
39%

Sloga Požega at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Sloga Požega will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - West: RSK Rabrovo 0–1 Sloga Požega

Sloga Požega beat RSK Rabrovo 1-0 in Srpska Liga - West on March 27, 2022.

The match was played at Stadion RSK Rabrovo in Rabrovo.