Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 1–2 1860 München U19

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

1860 München U19

3/8/2026

U19 Bundesliga · Round 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U1941%

×Draw21%

1860 München U1938%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19Expected goals in this match1860 München U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.96

1.89

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19

1.96

1860 München U19

1.89

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 12 home / 54 away

1.83

creates per match

1.70

2.08

allows per match

2.09

creates per match

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19

1.83

1860 München U19

1.70

allows per match

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19

2.08

1860 München U19

2.09

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19+0.00on par

1860 München U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over74
Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes73
No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 ↓

1860 München U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–04%

1–18%

1–28%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–18%

2–27%

2–35%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

90%10%2.5

74%26%3.5

53%47%4.5

34%66%

Double chance

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 or draw

62%

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 or 1860 München U19

79%

Draw or 1860 München U19

59%

Winning margin

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 wins by 2+

22%

1860 München U19 wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 1+ goals

86%

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 2+ goals

58%

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 3+ goals

31%

1860 München U19 1+ goals

85%

1860 München U19 2+ goals

56%

1860 München U19 3+ goals

29%

Draw no bet

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 (draw refunded)

52%

1860 München U19 (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

65%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 at home — creates 1.83, concedes 2.08 · 12 matches

1860 München U19 away — creates 1.70, concedes 2.09 · 54 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 attack 1.83 + 1860 München U19 defence 2.09 → ÷2 → 1.96

1860 München U19 attack 1.70 + Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 scores more

41%

level

21%

1860 München U19 scores more

38%

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Rot-Weiß

1860

Manager: M. Eckert

Manager: J. Schittenhelm

U19 Bundesliga: Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 1–2 1860 München U19

1860 München U19 beat Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 2-1 in U19 Bundesliga on March 8, 2026.

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 vs 1860 München U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 1–2 1860 München U19