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1860 München U19 vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

1860 München U19
1860 München U19
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19
5/10/2026U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 12

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

1860 München U1955%
×Draw20%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U1926%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1860 München U19
2.34
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19
1.57

1860 München U19 creates 49% more chances

Season form · 55 home / 12 away

creates per match

1860 München U19
1.76
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19
1.50

allows per match

1860 München U19
1.64
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19
2.92

finishing

1860 München U19+0.00on par
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

1860 München U19 ↓

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
54%46%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

1860 München U19 or draw
74%
1860 München U19 or Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19
80%
Draw or Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19
45%

Winning margin

1860 München U19 wins by 2+
34%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

1860 München U19 1+ goals
90%
1860 München U19 2+ goals
67%
1860 München U19 3+ goals
41%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 1+ goals
79%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 2+ goals
46%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

1860 München U19 (draw refunded)
68%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

1860 München U19 at home — creates 1.76, concedes 1.64 · 55 matches

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 away — creates 1.50, concedes 2.92 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

1860 München U19 attack 1.76 + Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 defence 2.92 → ÷2 → 2.34

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 attack 1.50 + 1860 München U19 defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

1860 München U19 scores more
55%
level
20%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 scores more
26%

1860 München U19 at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "1860 München U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

1860
Rot-Weiß
J. Schittenhelm
Manager: J. Schittenhelm
M. Eckert
Manager: M. Eckert

Match Recap: 1860 München U19 vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19

1860 München U19 beat Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 3-1 in U19 Bundesliga on May 10, 2026.