Rheindorf Altach II 2–0 Wals-Grünau: Result & Stats

Rheindorf Altach II

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Wals-Grünau

D. Madritsch 77'

F. Milojević 12'

5/9/2025

Regionalliga - West · West - 25CASHPOINT Arena Nebenplatz 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

Rheindorf Altach II46%

×Draw23%

Wals-Grünau31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rheindorf Altach IIExpected goals in this matchWals-Grünau

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.76

1.41

Rheindorf Altach II

1.76

Wals-Grünau

1.41

Rheindorf Altach II creates 25% more chances

Season form · 81 home / 61 away

1.75

creates per match

1.15

1.67

allows per match

1.77

creates per match

Rheindorf Altach II

1.75

Wals-Grünau

1.15

allows per match

Rheindorf Altach II

1.67

Wals-Grünau

1.77

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rheindorf Altach II+0.00on par

Wals-Grünau+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rheindorf Altach II ↓

Wals-Grünau →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Rheindorf Altach II or draw

69%

Rheindorf Altach II or Wals-Grünau

77%

Draw or Wals-Grünau

54%

Winning margin

Rheindorf Altach II wins by 2+

24%

Wals-Grünau wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Rheindorf Altach II 1+ goals

83%

Rheindorf Altach II 2+ goals

52%

Rheindorf Altach II 3+ goals

26%

Wals-Grünau 1+ goals

76%

Wals-Grünau 2+ goals

41%

Wals-Grünau 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Rheindorf Altach II (draw refunded)

60%

Wals-Grünau (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rheindorf Altach II at home — creates 1.75, concedes 1.67 · 81 matches

Wals-Grünau away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.77 · 61 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rheindorf Altach II attack 1.75 + Wals-Grünau defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.76

Wals-Grünau attack 1.15 + Rheindorf Altach II defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Rheindorf Altach II scores more

46%

level

23%

Wals-Grünau scores more

31%

Rheindorf Altach II at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Rheindorf Altach II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

F. Milojević

46'

G. Brennsteiner← A. Lapkalo

66'

N. Sturm← F. Ruf

77'

D. Madritsch

80'

A. Ademi← T. Crnkic

80'

F. Oberwaditzer← S. Noode

90+3'

M. Hanak← E. Yalcin

Rheindorf

Wals-Grünau

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

▼

Manager: L. Ngwat-Mahop

80'▲A. Ademi←▼T. Crnkic

80'▲F. Oberwaditzer←▼S. Noode

90+3'▲M. Hanak←▼E. Yalcin

Rheindorf Altach II substitutes

AdemiOberwaditzerHanakKociEnderThalmann

Manager: C. Knaus

46'▲G. Brennsteiner←▼A. Lapkalo

66'▲N. Sturm←▼F. Ruf

Wals-Grünau substitutes

BrennsteinerSturmLindnerBesicPajić

Match Recap: Rheindorf Altach II vs Wals-Grünau

Rheindorf Altach II beat Wals-Grünau 2-0 in Regionalliga - West on May 9, 2025.

Goals: F. Milojević (12'), D. Madritsch (77').

The match was played at CASHPOINT Arena Nebenplatz 1 in Altach.

Rheindorf Altach II vs Wals-Grünau — Regionalliga - West 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Rheindorf Altach II vs Wals-Grünau