Rheindorf Altach II 3–1 Meiningen: Result & Stats

Rheindorf Altach II

FT

3 – 1

Meiningen

9/26/2021

Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga · Vorarlberg - 13CASHPOINT Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Rheindorf Altach II74%

×Draw14%

Meiningen13%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rheindorf Altach IIExpected goals in this matchMeiningen

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

3.24

1.32

Rheindorf Altach II

3.24

Meiningen

1.32

Rheindorf Altach II creates 145% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 15 away

3.88

creates per match

1.40

1.25

allows per match

2.60

creates per match

Rheindorf Altach II

3.88

Meiningen

1.40

allows per match

Rheindorf Altach II

1.25

Meiningen

2.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rheindorf Altach II+0.00on par

Meiningen+0.00on par

Total goals

Over82
Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes70
No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rheindorf Altach II ↓

Meiningen →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–11%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–04%

1–15%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–18%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–05%

4–17%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 80% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

94%6%2.5

82%18%3.5

65%35%4.5

45%55%

Double chance

Rheindorf Altach II or draw

87%

Rheindorf Altach II or Meiningen

86%

Draw or Meiningen

26%

Winning margin

Rheindorf Altach II wins by 2+

55%

Meiningen wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Rheindorf Altach II 1+ goals

96%

Rheindorf Altach II 2+ goals

83%

Rheindorf Altach II 3+ goals

61%

Meiningen 1+ goals

73%

Meiningen 2+ goals

38%

Meiningen 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Rheindorf Altach II (draw refunded)

85%

Meiningen (draw refunded)

15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

66%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rheindorf Altach II at home — creates 3.88, concedes 1.25 · 16 matches

Meiningen away — creates 1.40, concedes 2.60 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rheindorf Altach II attack 3.88 + Meiningen defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 3.24

Meiningen attack 1.40 + Rheindorf Altach II defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 74%?"

Rheindorf Altach II scores more

74%

level

14%

Meiningen scores more

13%

Rheindorf Altach II at 74% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 74% does not mean "Rheindorf Altach II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Rheindorf Altach II vs Meiningen

Rheindorf Altach II beat Meiningen 3-1 in Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga on September 26, 2021.

The match was played at CASHPOINT Arena in Altach.

Rheindorf Altach II vs Meiningen — Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Rheindorf Altach II vs Meiningen