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Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Resovia Rzeszów
Resovia Rzeszów
CANC
00:00
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2/10/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Resovia Rzeszów48%
×Draw24%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Resovia Rzeszów
1.69
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.25

Resovia Rzeszów creates 35% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 8 away

creates per match

Resovia Rzeszów
2.25
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.50

allows per match

Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.13

finishing

Resovia Rzeszów+0.00on par
Sandecja Nowy Sącz+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Resovia Rzeszów ↓

Sandecja Nowy Sącz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Resovia Rzeszów or draw
72%
Resovia Rzeszów or Sandecja Nowy Sącz
76%
Draw or Sandecja Nowy Sącz
52%

Winning margin

Resovia Rzeszów wins by 2+
25%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Resovia Rzeszów 1+ goals
82%
Resovia Rzeszów 2+ goals
50%
Resovia Rzeszów 3+ goals
24%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1+ goals
71%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2+ goals
36%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Resovia Rzeszów (draw refunded)
63%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Resovia Rzeszów at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Sandecja Nowy Sącz away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.13 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Resovia Rzeszów attack 2.25 + Sandecja Nowy Sącz defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.69

Sandecja Nowy Sącz attack 1.50 + Resovia Rzeszów defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Resovia Rzeszów scores more
48%
level
24%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz scores more
28%

Resovia Rzeszów at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Resovia Rzeszów will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Resovia Rzeszów face Sandecja Nowy Sącz (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Resovia Rzeszów hosting Sandecja Nowy Sącz. Match starts February 10, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Resovia Rzeszów host Sandecja Nowy Sącz at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.