Renaissance Berkane 0–0 Pyramids FC: Result & Stats

Renaissance Berkane

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Pyramids FC

1/24/2026

CAF Champions League · Round 3Stade Municipal de Berkane

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Renaissance Berkane51%

×Draw29%

Pyramids FC20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Renaissance BerkaneExpected goals in this matchPyramids FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.32

0.71

Renaissance Berkane

1.32

Pyramids FC

0.71

Renaissance Berkane creates 86% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 18 away

1.86

creates per match

1.00

0.43

allows per match

0.78

creates per match

Renaissance Berkane

1.86

Pyramids FC

1.00

allows per match

Renaissance Berkane

0.43

Pyramids FC

0.78

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Renaissance Berkane+0.00on par

Pyramids FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No63
Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Renaissance Berkane ↓

Pyramids FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–19%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Renaissance Berkane or draw

80%

Renaissance Berkane or Pyramids FC

71%

Draw or Pyramids FC

49%

Winning margin

Renaissance Berkane wins by 2+

24%

Pyramids FC wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Renaissance Berkane 1+ goals

73%

Renaissance Berkane 2+ goals

38%

Renaissance Berkane 3+ goals

15%

Pyramids FC 1+ goals

51%

Pyramids FC 2+ goals

16%

Pyramids FC 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Renaissance Berkane (draw refunded)

72%

Pyramids FC (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

25%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Renaissance Berkane at home — creates 1.86, concedes 0.43 · 7 matches

Pyramids FC away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.78 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Renaissance Berkane attack 1.86 + Pyramids FC defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 1.32

Pyramids FC attack 1.00 + Renaissance Berkane defence 0.43 → ÷2 → 0.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Renaissance Berkane scores more

51%

level

29%

Pyramids FC scores more

20%

Renaissance Berkane at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Renaissance Berkane will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff