Remo 0–1 Salgueiro: Result & Stats | Serie C

Remo

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Salgueiro

Emerson 24'

6/3/2018

Serie C · Round 8Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença (Belém, Pará)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Remo56%

×Draw29%

Salgueiro15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RemoExpected goals in this matchSalgueiro

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.31

0.53

Remo

1.31

Salgueiro

0.53

Remo creates 147% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 9 away

1.30

creates per match

0.33

0.73

allows per match

1.33

creates per match

Remo

1.30

Salgueiro

0.33

allows per match

Remo

0.73

Salgueiro

1.33

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Remo+0.00on par

Salgueiro+0.00on par

Total goals

Under72
Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No70
Yes30

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Remo ↓

Salgueiro →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–18%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–021%

1–111%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–17%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (21%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

55%45%2.5

28%72%3.5

11%89%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Remo or draw

85%

Remo or Salgueiro

71%

Draw or Salgueiro

44%

Winning margin

Remo wins by 2+

27%

Salgueiro wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Remo 1+ goals

73%

Remo 2+ goals

38%

Remo 3+ goals

14%

Salgueiro 1+ goals

41%

Salgueiro 2+ goals

10%

Salgueiro 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Remo (draw refunded)

79%

Salgueiro (draw refunded)

21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

19%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Remo at home — creates 1.30, concedes 0.73 · 63 matches

Salgueiro away — creates 0.33, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Remo attack 1.30 + Salgueiro defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.31

Salgueiro attack 0.33 + Remo defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Remo scores more

56%

level

29%

Salgueiro scores more

15%

Remo at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Remo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

24'

Emerson

46'

Willian Anicete← Erikys

58'

Dadá Belmonte← Marcos Vinicius

62'

Elielton← Dudu

62'

Gabriel← Bruno Maia

71'

Isac← Rafael Bastos

Remo

Salgueiro

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Artur Oliveira

62'▲Elielton←▼Dudu

62'▲Gabriel←▼Bruno Maia

71'▲Isac←▼Rafael Bastos

Remo substitutes

ElieltonGabrielIsacDiasCardosoJaymeLevyGustavoMiguel

Manager: Sérgio China

46'▲Willian Anicete←▼Erikys

58'▲Dadá Belmonte←▼Marcos Vinicius

Salgueiro substitutes

AniceteBelmonteLucianoAlexonVictorTanakaEscuroPauloTamandaré

Serie C: Remo 0–1 Salgueiro

Salgueiro beat Remo 1-0 in Serie C on June 3, 2018.

Goals: Emerson (24').

The match was played at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença (Belém, Pará).

Remo vs Salgueiro — Serie C 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Serie C: Remo 0–1 Salgueiro