Scoreo

Remo vs GloboSerie C 2026

Remo
Remo
FT
10
HT: 10
Globo
Globo
Isac 28' (pen)
4/21/2018Serie CSerie C · Round 2Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença (Belém, Pará)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Remo51%
×Draw28%
Globo20%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Remo
1.33
Globo
0.72

Remo creates 85% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 17 away

creates per match

Remo
1.30
Globo
0.71

allows per match

Remo
0.73
Globo
1.35

finishing

Remo+0.00on par
Globo+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 66Over: 3466%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 62Yes: 3862%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Remo

Globo
0
1
2
3
4
0
0013%
019%
023%
031%
040%
1
1017%
1112%
124%
131%
140%
2
2011%
218%
223%
231%
240%
3
305%
314%
321%
330%
340%
4
402%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Remo or draw
80%
Remo or Globo
72%
Draw or Globo
49%

Winning margin

Remo wins by 2+
25%
Globo wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Remo 1+ goals
74%
Remo 2+ goals
38%
Remo 3+ goals
15%
Globo 1+ goals
51%
Globo 2+ goals
16%
Globo 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Remo (draw refunded)
72%
Globo (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Remo at homecreates 1.30, concedes 0.73 · 63 matches

Globo awaycreates 0.71, concedes 1.35 · 17 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Remo attack 1.30 + Globo defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.33

Globo attack 0.71 + Remo defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Remo scores more
51%
level
28%
Globo scores more
20%

Remo at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Remo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Remo
Globo
60'Leandro BrasíliaFernandes
69'EvertonAdenilson
74'Luiz GustavoLevy
46'Jean NatalErick
61'Alex SandroMateus Guerreiro
74'NeguebaRomarinho

Match Recap: Remo vs Globo

Remo beat Globo 1-0 in Serie C on April 21, 2018.

Goals: Isac (28' pen).

The match was played at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença (Belém, Pará).