Globo 3–1 Remo: Result & Stats | Serie C

Globo

FT

3 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Remo

Max 74'

Renatinho Potiguar 63'

Alexandre 21'

Isac 15'

6/24/2018

Serie C · Round 11Estádio Manoel Dantas Barreto (Ceara-Mirim, Rio Grande do Norte)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Globo42%

×Draw28%

Remo30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GloboExpected goals in this matchRemo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.29

1.03

Globo

1.29

Remo

1.03

Globo creates 25% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 64 away

1.35

creates per match

0.89

1.18

allows per match

1.23

creates per match

Globo

1.35

Remo

0.89

allows per match

Globo

1.18

Remo

1.23

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Globo+0.00on par

Remo+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Globo ↓

Remo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Globo or draw

70%

Globo or Remo

72%

Draw or Remo

58%

Winning margin

Globo wins by 2+

19%

Remo wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Globo 1+ goals

72%

Globo 2+ goals

37%

Globo 3+ goals

14%

Remo 1+ goals

64%

Remo 2+ goals

28%

Remo 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Globo (draw refunded)

59%

Remo (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Globo at home — creates 1.35, concedes 1.18 · 17 matches

Remo away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.23 · 64 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Globo attack 1.35 + Remo defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.29

Remo attack 0.89 + Globo defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Globo scores more

42%

level

28%

Remo scores more

30%

Globo at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Globo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

15'

Isac

21'

Alexandre

62'

Dudu Pacheco← Rafael Bastos

63'

Renatinho Potiguar

70'

Mateuzinho← Alex Sandro

70'

Romário← Mimica

74'

Max

77'

Evandro Cardoso← Vinícius

85'

Jean Natal← Renatinho Potiguar

89'

Diego Soares← Renatinho Carioca

Globo

Remo

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

Manager: Higor César

70'▲Mateuzinho←▼Alex Sandro

85'▲Jean Natal←▼Renatinho Potiguar

89'▲Diego Soares←▼Renatinho Carioca

Globo substitutes

MateuzinhoNatalSoaresCamiloCosmeEduardoErickGravatáVictorNeguebaSilvaVanger

Manager: Artur Oliveira

62'▲Dudu Pacheco←▼Rafael Bastos

70'▲Romário←▼Mimica

77'▲Evandro Cardoso←▼Vinícius

Remo substitutes

PachecoRomárioCardosoEliandroElieltonFernandesGabrielVacaria

Globo 3 – 1 Remo

Globo beat Remo 3-1 in Serie C on June 24, 2018.

Goals: Isac (15'), Alexandre (21'), Renatinho Potiguar (63'), Max (74').

The match was played at Estádio Manoel Dantas Barreto (Ceara-Mirim, Rio Grande do Norte).

Globo vs Remo — Serie C 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Globo 3 – 1 Remo