Scoreo

RED Star FC 93 vs ReimsLigue 2 2018

RED Star FC 93
RED Star FC 93
FT
00
HT: 00
Reims
Reims
12/13/2025Ligue 2Ligue 2 · Round 17Stade Bauer

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

RED Star FC 9329%
×Draw26%
Reims45%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 584,459 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

RED Star FC 93
1.10
Reims
1.43

Reims creates 30% more chances

Season form · 54 home / 27 away

creates per match

RED Star FC 93
1.17
Reims
1.52

allows per match

RED Star FC 93
1.33
Reims
1.04

finishing

RED Star FC 93+0.00on par
Reims+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RED Star FC 93

Reims
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
0111%
028%
034%
041%
1
109%
1113%
129%
134%
142%
2
205%
217%
225%
232%
241%
3
302%
313%
322%
331%
340%
4
400%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

RED Star FC 93 or draw
55%
RED Star FC 93 or Reims
74%
Draw or Reims
71%

Winning margin

RED Star FC 93 wins by 2+
11%
Reims wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

RED Star FC 93 1+ goals
67%
RED Star FC 93 2+ goals
30%
RED Star FC 93 3+ goals
10%
Reims 1+ goals
76%
Reims 2+ goals
42%
Reims 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

RED Star FC 93 (draw refunded)
39%
Reims (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RED Star FC 93 at homecreates 1.17, concedes 1.33 · 54 matches

Reims awaycreates 1.52, concedes 1.04 · 27 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RED Star FC 93 attack 1.17 + Reims defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.10

Reims attack 1.52 + RED Star FC 93 defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

RED Star FC 93 scores more
29%
level
26%
Reims scores more
45%

Reims at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Reims will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

27
B. DangerRED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93 · D
7.7

Possession

46%RED

Shots

5RED

Pass accuracy

49%RED

Statistics

REDReims
Overview
46%Possession54%
5Total Shots13
4Corners4
7Fouls16
Shots
5Total Shots13
2On Target4
2Off Target6
1Blocked3
1Inside Box5
4Outside Box8
Passing
46%Possession54%
382Total Passes455
298Accurate Passes366
78%Pass Accuracy80%
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
Discipline
7Fouls16
1Yellow Cards2
0Offsides3

Match Recap: RED Star FC 93 vs Reims

RED Star FC 93 and Reims drew 0-0 in Ligue 2 on December 13, 2025.

Reims controlled possession (54%) and registered 13 shots to 5.

The match was played at Stade Bauer in Paris - Saint-Ouen.