Real Zaragoza II 0–0 Barbastro: Result & Stats

Real Zaragoza II

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Barbastro

5/2/2021

Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Group 17 - 2nd Phase - 5Estadio de la Romareda

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Real Zaragoza II51%

×Draw24%

Barbastro25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real Zaragoza IIExpected goals in this matchBarbastro

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.08

Real Zaragoza II

1.67

Barbastro

1.08

Real Zaragoza II creates 55% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 59 away

2.16

creates per match

1.51

0.66

allows per match

1.17

creates per match

Real Zaragoza II

2.16

Barbastro

1.51

allows per match

Real Zaragoza II

0.66

Barbastro

1.17

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Real Zaragoza II+0.00on par

Barbastro+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Zaragoza II ↓

Barbastro →

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1–011%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Real Zaragoza II or draw

75%

Real Zaragoza II or Barbastro

76%

Draw or Barbastro

49%

Winning margin

Real Zaragoza II wins by 2+

27%

Barbastro wins by 2+

Team goals

Real Zaragoza II 1+ goals

81%

Real Zaragoza II 2+ goals

50%

Real Zaragoza II 3+ goals

23%

Barbastro 1+ goals

66%

Barbastro 2+ goals

29%

Barbastro 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Real Zaragoza II (draw refunded)

67%

Barbastro (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Real Zaragoza II at home — creates 2.16, concedes 0.66 · 44 matches

Barbastro away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.17 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Real Zaragoza II attack 2.16 + Barbastro defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.67

Barbastro attack 1.51 + Real Zaragoza II defence 0.66 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 51%?"

Real Zaragoza II scores more

51%

level

24%

Barbastro scores more

25%

Real Zaragoza II at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Real Zaragoza II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

73'

Alejandro Vela← Andreu Torres

73'

Toquero← Luis Carbonell

80'

Álvaro Barrero← Oscar Pérez

80'

Jorge Ruiz← Juan Alvarado

85'

Diego Marín← Marc Cobos

85'

Mario Benedet← Jaime Sancho

85'

Jorge Ramos← Guille Alonso

89'

Joel Arimany← Miguel Puche

90+3'

Gorka Ojeda← Álvaro Barrero

Real

Barbastro

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Iván Martínez

73'▲Alejandro Vela←▼Andreu Torres

73'▲Toquero←▼Luis Carbonell

85'▲Diego Marín←▼Marc Cobos

85'▲Mario Benedet←▼Jaime Sancho

89'▲Joel Arimany←▼Miguel Puche

Real Zaragoza II substitutes

VelaToqueroMarínBenedetArimany

Manager: Daniel Martinez

80'▲Álvaro Barrero←▼Oscar Pérez

80'▲Jorge Ruiz←▼Juan Alvarado

85'▲Jorge Ramos←▼Guille Alonso

90+3'▲Gorka Ojeda←▼Álvaro Barrero

Barbastro substitutes

BarreroRuizRamosOjeda

Match Recap: Real Zaragoza II vs Barbastro

Real Zaragoza II and Barbastro drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 on May 2, 2021.

The match was played at Estadio de la Romareda in Zaragoza.

Real Zaragoza II vs Barbastro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Real Zaragoza II vs Barbastro